Predictions for 8th Draw :: Dates of Draw | CRS Cut-off Score | No of ITA Issued

[rojiv94]

I am expecting 8th draw
Cutoff score 420+ and ITAs 3000

 

[trricky]

They need at least 1100 ITA... To math the rest of the 18000 needed for the target... That means next one will be a 450+ draw.
20 of April is the date!

 

[Jaxon911]

I think patience is the key. Especially for those with less than 400 points!

From the trend in last 3 draws, it seems score won't go below 400 this year! Problem is that CIC has reduced number of ITAs they've sent. Everyone is competing with each-other here, so realistically score won't go down until flow of new super profiles (with 450+ points) starts to dry out.

 

[Rahul_S]

Are u suggesting that cut-off will remain 400+ even in the last quarter of 2015 ??

I feel it will drop down to about 375 or more till then

 

[vinodram]

This is Clear plan of CIC by increasing score, wants everyone to reappear for CELPIP or apply for suppose WES and CELPIP. This is their main revenues, hope you guys agree

 

[jijialex]

Any chance for invitation getting canada student in FSWP category

 

[pakimom]

My guess is as follows:

Non-Specific Draw
Draw Date : 23 April
Cut - off points : 430
No of ITAs : 1800

 

[sunnyvin]

Draw this seems unlikely . DRAW at the end of the month score close to 410 or below 1400 Ita.

 

[Jaxon911]

This is Clear plan of CIC by increasing score, wants everyone to reappear for CELPIP or apply for suppose WES and CELPIP. This is their main revenues, hope you guys agree

CELPIP or WES doesn't pay government of Canada. If they wish to raise revenue from immigration, then I think an easier way to raise revenue would be to increase visa fees significantly, I'm sure pretty much everyone here would pay even double the current fees easily. I was looking at Australia PR visa fees, it's more like 3 to 4 times that of Canadian immigration process. If we realistically look at the costs of processing visa applications, such as performing background checks and security checks through external agencies (who also charge fee per application), plus costs for paying visa officer and their office environment, fees are VERY reasonable in my opinion.

Doctor charged GBP£600 for medical test for myself and my wife, test lasted only about 45 minutes. Compared to that, visa officer and their other staff have spent much more time on my application! So what you're saying cannot be true.

 

[Jaxon911]

Are u suggesting that cut-off will remain 400+ even in the last quarter of 2015 ??

I feel it will drop down to about 375 or more till then

That is what it seems based on last couple of draws. It's a guess based on historical data. It could always be wrong, but there is a good chance that it'll be right! I think number of applicants with 420+ score will start to dry around end of this year, so from next year score might get around 400. It all depends on the number of ITAs CIC issues. Assuming CIC is doing 24 draws a year and their target is to issue around 25000 EE visas a year (like the limit they had in FSWP last year), number of ITAs per draw may soon go down significantly!

So it all depends on the secret formula which they use to decide number of ITAs to issue!

 

[rojiv94]

That is what it seems based on last couple of draws. It's a guess based on historical data. It could always be wrong, but there is a good chance that it'll be right! I think number of applicants with 420+ score will start to dry around end of this year, so from next year score might get around 400. It all depends on the number of ITAs CIC issues. Assuming CIC is doing 24 draws a year and their target is to issue around 25000 EE visas a year (like the limit they had in FSWP last year), number of ITAs per draw may soon go down significantly!

So it all depends on the secret formula which they use to decide number of ITAs to issue!

Sorry to say, Your analysis is absolutely wrong.

 

[Jaxon911]

Sorry to say, Your analysis is absolutely wrong.

Thanks! I see you have given valid reasons to prove that.

I am not rude enough to claim something outright, especially without any explanation. I clearly mentioned that it could always be wrong but I'm confident that my guess is going to be reasonably close to reality if my assumptions are correct!

 

[camel20]

our CRS is 464.. Do we any chances in the 8th Draw?

 

[andycan]

is there any draw tomorrow?

 

[EmmEmm]

our CRS is 464.. Do we any chances in the 8th Draw?

you have a good score. you should expect the ITA in the next two draws. High chances that you will get it in the next draw.