girlfromindia said:
The rule was suppose to go back to 3 out of 5 years by July 2016.
Not exactly. There is a 3 years out of 5 rule
proposed in Bill C-6, which the Liberal government
hoped to have adopted by July 2016. But of course Canada has a democratic form of government, so changes in law must go through the full legislative process.
Bill C-6 did make it through the House of Commons before July, but it has not been voted on yet by the Senate. Odds are it will eventually pass the Senate sometime this fall, before the December break at the least . . . except of course there is no guarantee, and there are some issues with the Bill (such as the repeal of provisions which allow the gov't to revoke citizenship for convictions of certain crimes) which the Senate may squabble over.
Apart from the legislative process itself, Minister McCallum had expressed hope the Bill itself would be adopted by July 2016, but had also said that the 3/5 rule would be implemented
later. The provisions governing transition explicitly provide for many of the provisions, and those implementing the 3/5 rule in particular, to not take effect right away, but to take effect at a later time. This is standard practice. In any event, there was no promise the 3/5 rule would take effect by July, or even anytime this year.
Recent reporting in this forum suggests the Minister personally assured someone the Bill would be "in effect" this year. That is ambiguous at best, since again some parts of the Bill will take effect as soon as the Bill is formally adopted and given Royal Assent, but other parts will take effect at various times later. My sense is that it is unlikely the 3/5 rule will be in effect before sometime in 2017, but when in 2017 still a big unknown.
Finally, the 3/5 rule is not going back to any previous rule. The 3/5 rule is a brand new rule. While in some ways it is stricter than what was in place before the Conservative government implemented the 4/6 rule, since it is a strict presence rule (the old 3/4 rule could be met by
residency for three years, meaning there was no strict physical presence requirement), but is also a significantly more flexible approach than the old 3/4 rule in that it allows for longer or more extensive absences relative to a physical presence test (despite the fact the old 3/4 rule was a
residency requirement, under the Conservative government the trend was to impose a strict physical presence test).
girlfromindia said:
Does anyone have an idea if there is an inclination to pass this rule off and by which date?
In any event, it is likely the 3/5 will be adopted. No guarantee but likely.
As noted, when it will take effect is still unknown. Not likely to take effect this year. Beyond that, guessing when is speculation.