Ray of hope - FSW - 1

[jrossi]

You mean it won't still come down with a b2b in November or December?

There’s not reason to believe there will be a B2B in November. For December, I’m not quite sure if we’ll see a B2B. For a simple reason: the next draws will be November 18th, December 2nd and December 16th. So, we already have 2 draws in December. In 2018 and 2019 we had B2B draws in December because otherwise the month would hold only 1 draw (considering IRCC ceases its activities during the weeks of Xmas and New Years holidays).
This time around, we’ll have 2 draws in December, without the need of one of them being after the week of December 21th. So, I firmly believe we’ll not see another b2b this year.
Yet, I hope I’m wrong. But again, here is not a place for optimism, but for us to share data that could lead us to an informed decision. Being optimistic will not lead us anywhere, but pursuing extra points, will.

 

[nikhilkbhat]

There’s not reason to believe there will be a B2B in November. For December, I’m not quite sure if we’ll see a B2B. For a simple reason: the next draws will be November 18th, December 2nd and December 16th. So, we already have 2 draws in December. In 2018 and 2019 we had B2B draws in December because otherwise the month would hold only 1 draw (considering IRCC ceases its activities during the weeks of Xmas and New Years holidays).
This time around, we’ll have 2 draws in December, without the need of one of them being after the week of December 21th. So, I firmly believe we’ll not see another b2b this year.
Yet, I hope I’m wrong. But again, here is not a place for optimism, but for us to share data that could lead us to an informed decision. Being optimistic will not lead us anywhere, but pursuing extra points, will.

There may be draws on November 11th and 25th.. if that happens, there'll be a b2b draw in December..

 

[jrossi]

There may be draws on November 11th and 25th.. if that happens, there'll be a b2b draw in December..

Why would IRCC be willing to make 2 back to backs in a matter of 3 weeks between them? Doesn’t make any sense to me.

 

[Carmen01]

As usual, just passing by and saying hello to my fellow ITA hopefuls....

 

[nikhilkbhat]

Why would IRCC be willing to make 2 back to backs in a matter of 3 weeks between them? Doesn’t make any sense to me.

You might be right.. but I feel that there would be 4 more rounds this year.. either way we just gotta wait and watch

 

[Igethope]

Like I said before, no body knows anything except IRCC. TIME will reveal what’s possible.

 

[Emman O.]

I refuse to listen to any analyst or expert that couldn't predict a Thursday draw this week, Lmao.

 

[abqalhamairi]

I refuse to listen to any analyst or expert that couldn't predict a Thursday draw this week, Lmao.

I did call it.

 

[Emman O.]

I did call it.

Really. I can listen to you. What do you think IRCC will do next?

 

[BlindGoku]

I refuse to listen to any analyst or expert that couldn't predict a Thursday draw this week, Lmao.

Last week I called for a draw this week. And people in general should listen to the advice to members such as @jrossi . These type of advices get you points needed for your CRS and getting an ITA, just optimism will not boost your chances.

 

[Scalphunter]

How many profiles with 471+ do you guys think enter into the pool every two weeks? The latest draw seems to have removed all the 478+ folks from this chart which is the breakdown of the EE pool as of Nov 4th:

If you subtract 4500 starting from the right, you end up in the 471-480 column, which fits with the 478 cut off. If IRCC does another couple 4500 ITA draws, you're looking at ending in the 461-470 column, but that all depends on how many 471 and above people enter and how frequent the draws are. I refuse to believe that there are 4500+ people with 471+ scores entering the pool every two weeks.

 

[Himanshu6444]

Seeing trend of past 3 months, we can easily say they are being added.
But again, looking at 3 months only is not the right reflection. Now if scores need to go down, IRCC has to be stable in conducting draws.
otherwise it is going to hover above 470 only.

 

[EscoBlades]

I refuse to listen to any analyst or expert that couldn't predict a Thursday draw this week, Lmao.

Well then this thread has precisely zero experts in that regard, if we are being perfectly honest.

 

[Emman O.]

Well then this thread has precisely zero experts in that regard, if we are being perfectly honest.

Lol. We are all permutating. But I insist that 471+ scores are safe if birthday do not happen till January 1st.

But if you can improve your scores with, say maxing IELTS etc, it's better. The faster, the better. But if you have to do extreme things like getting a Canadian degree or PNP or whatever, just take a chill pill.

 

[Emman O.]

Tbh, I was initially scared we are in the 480+ era. But the draw yesterday, and the information in the pool is clear to see. Even if there's no b2b, the score will drop. Without b2b, the cut off in two weeks time cannot be 478 again, it will be 475-476. That's how it will drop in bits.