Express Entry 34th Draw Forecast

[nighcrawler]

Probably he doesn't remember the exact figures, because he also said the last draw was 540 (534 really). But overall trend seems to be clear.
Though it's not the officially published info, everything can change.

Well, for most of the people in this thread the exact figures of the minimum scores make the difference

 

[TrackIT]

Ever since i saw this video i cried atleast 3 times ! myself and many others are desperately waiting for that score drop moment to come ! i really hope this happens atleast even after when i leave on 28th

 

[DamhaSirah]

However, he also said that currently they were drawing with scores about 450 and 420 (I definitely heard him saying 420), but that's just not true - there hasn't been a draw with scores that low... So can we trust him on scores dropping in September/October?

They mean the basic scores in this range (out of 600 points), not overall scores (out of 1200). Everyone has a basic score out of 600, whether they get a provincial nomination / Canadian job offer or not. It's a means of pacifying applicants without being untrue, something like pricing a product at $99 instead of $100 to make the price seem lesser.

 

[DamhaSirah]

During Newcomers Canada Fair in Edmonton CIC officials announced that in next couples of month the draws will be smaller in numbers and higher in score, but starting from September or later the round will count around 2000+ ITA's with the score likely to decrease.

This seems reassuring, thank you

 

[johnjkjk]

Chap in the video claims that scores will drop below 400 October onwards, with 2000+ invitations. How likely is this? I've currently got 441 points and trying to increase this to 474 by getting an another qualification assessed.

I also think that there should be a significant bonus for an IELTS 9 English score (native English speakers) with a decent French score- far more likely to fit in.

 

[dell2]

Its all talk no action - TRUMP ahaha

We'll have to wait and see for this one.

 

[DamhaSirah]

Chap in the video claims that scores will drop below 400 October onwards, with 2000+ invitations. How likely is this? I've currently got 441 points and trying to increase this to 474 by getting an another qualification assessed.

I also think that there should be a significant bonus for an IELTS 9 English score (native English speakers) with a decent French score- far more likely to fit in.

They mean the basic scores will drop below 400 (out of 600 points), not overall scores (out of 1200). Everyone has a basic score out of 600, whether they get a provincial nomination / Canadian job offer or not. It's a means of pacifying applicants without being untrue, something like pricing a product at $99 instead of $100 to make the price seem lesser.

 

[nighcrawler]

They mean the basic scores will drop below 400 (out of 600 points), not overall scores (out of 1200). Everyone has a basic score out of 600, whether they get a provincial nomination / Canadian job offer or not. It's a means of pacifying applicants without being untrue, something like pricing a product at $99 instead of $100 to make the price seem lesser.

you have already posted it above
Actually, I'm not sure I understand your idea. Pretty much everyone with any basic score gets admitted once they get the job offer and thus +600 points. Therefore I'm inclined to believe that what they meant is that the minimum scores will drop lower. Not sure if lower than 400, but I hope, at least, to where they were before

 

[sushsmart15]

The CIC official in the video talks about the scoring coming down to 400 CRS points in Oct/Nov. 2016.
There were already 13k or more applicants only within 400 to 449 points in the first week of Jan 2016. This number is always increasing week by week.
So how can we believe that the cut-off score will fall down so low till 400.

Moreover, how will PNPs like OINP sustain if an applicant at 400 points gets direct ITA?? They will not have any applicants through Human Capital priorities stream.

 

[aunty acid]

Time will tell..a few months more to wait

 

[cyt0plas]

Its all talk no action - TRUMP ahaha

Trump has been acting since the 80s, and is now the republican nominee, polling within a few points of Hillary. For a man of "no action", he has a net worth of billions, and many, many successful businesses.

How about yourself?

 

[tfeddy2012]

Chap in the video claims that scores will drop below 400 October onwards, with 2000+ invitations. How likely is this? I've currently got 441 points and trying to increase this to 474 by getting an another qualification assessed.

I also think that there should be a significant bonus for an IELTS 9 English score (native English speakers) with a decent French score- far more likely to fit in.

I,ll just advise you to go ahead to do what you have to do to improve your score.
dont wait or depend on all of this cock and boo stories...some people have been in 450 since last year hoping at least it would come down to that..but it didnt.
lots of stupid analysis here....dont wait... :

 

[aunty acid]

Absolutely right !....getting back to my French books :-X

 

[roshantrv83]

Is there any chances to come down below 450 or 300 ?

Never.

 

[Chiragappa]

I think 34th draw will be back to 460-480 range. With previous one only had 799 its's the crs score was high. Now that all of them until 534 has got a ita its turn for ppl with lesser score. Quite hopeful crs will come down to 475 this upcoming draw. And eventually will come down to 450 in 2 months. Regards.