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DND said:
Can anybody explain, what is the political benefit of keeping the effective date secret?
I mean, most of the people applying between now and the elections will unlikely become citizens in time to vote
The people who are eligible to apply by June-July 2015 (like myself) have absolutely no chance of voting in the 2015 federal elections in any case. So what is the benefit of not letting us know? Seems to me like nothing to gain, but come next elections (in a few years after) I'm sure there would be a lot of angry new citizens, who remember the mess done by this conservative government
I do not know what underlies the observations posted by
MUFC regarding the relationship between the coming into force date of section 5(1) amendments and the Federal elections.
My sense is that the relationship is less direct, more about observable accomplishments done in time for the formal campaign season, on one hand, and simply the mechanics of having loose ends wrapped up before the campaign season.
Thus, for example, if Harper calls for an early election (and some pundits are suggesting this is a real possibility), it is most likely the Governor in Council (which in reality is the PMO, and in practice is a decision by the PM himself, in this government anyway) will order the amendments to come into force well enough before the date of the election that it will represent a completed accomplishment during the formal campaign (noting that campaigning on many levels has already begun).
The election season will of course begin no later than October, at the very latest, so that sets what is undoubtedly the farthest out date the amendments will come into force (summer is far more likely, or even earlier).
In terms of how this might be expected to influence voting, the objective is to have all the changes included in Bill C-24 done, implemented, in time to appeal to those constituencies who have an active interest in the "
strengthening of Canadian citizenship," and not so much about influencing new citizens (who are expected to either be not inclined to vote Conservative anyway, or who are expected to vote Conservative anyway based more on economic issues).
Note: all signs point to a very targeted constituency campaign, political wrangling to be focused on specific ridings, specific constituencies in particular regions or even individual ridings, and only minimal (as necessary) appeal to bigger, broader nation-wide concerns (except the rhetoric about being guardians of Canadian economic interests, and guardians of public safety, as in strong criminal justice). Thus, there will be more attention given, by the Conservative party anyway, to micro-issues than broad issues. This is a style of politics perfected by the adviser to American President George W. Bush, Karl Rove, leading up to the 2000 and 2004 U.S. presidential elections. It is all about counting votes which will make a difference in specific electoral districts (ridings in most of Canada), and leveraging together a patchwork of what might be called
swing-ridings, with little regard for what the total national vote turns out to be. (Thus, for example, if the Conservatives can appeal to specific interest groups in a few dozen ridings which will tip those ridings to the Conservatives, even if by the smallest margin of votes imaginable, that could make the difference in who forms the government, regardless of who gets the biggest total of votes in the whole country.)
Why the secrecy as to the effective date:
I don't think this is much related to the Federal election. Foremost, this sort of secrecy is simply this government's
modus operandi, the way Harper and company do these things. Again I refer back to the OB 407 rollout, which was created in secret and then dumped on CIC, delivered to CIC to implement. For those of us in the public, while we started seeing what appeared to be major changes in how CIC was processing citizenship applications, and in particular in issuing RQ, within a few weeks of the implementation of OB 407, it was three months after OB 407 was rolled out that we, in the public, learned about "OB 407" and just a limited amount (highly redacted as to key elements) of what it prescribed. It took the better part of many months for those of us in the public to get a good handle on what had happened, and what it meant. (Changes to OB 407 in the meantime have been very closely guarded secrets.)
My sense is that this government simply believes this is the best way to govern, to keep the process of making changes pure within the government's inner circle, free from influence, lobbying, public discourse, or other efforts to influence what changes will be made. This includes, it appears, when to actually implement changes. Note, for example, that the major changes to the citizenship application process, including consolidation of extensive authority in the Minister that was previously the domain of Citizenship Judges, came into effect on August 1st, in an order made by the Governor in Council just the previous day, not formally published until weeks later, but informally noticed in the CIC web site just later in the day the changes took effect, that is, on August 1st. The public had no advance notice beyond the fact that those provisions were part of Bill C-24 which had been given Royal Assent on June 19th. That is precisely the amount of notice the public has as yet regarding the coming into force date for amendments in Section 5(1).
It is hard to imagine the changeover necessary to implement the amendments to section 5(1) can be done that secretly, so that the public does not know of it until it has actually happened. But it seems most likely there will be minimal advance notice before the day it actually happens.