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Guys/experts, based on these two scenarios, what would be the tie break dates for the draw tomorrow? 1. Tie break with 49 left on 441: ?? 2. Tie break with 349 left on 441:?? With a follow up draw size of 4000 on the 8th of August, we might finally break the 440 barrier 1st week of September...

I Already did....

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate) 600 - 1200: 219 451 - 600 : 314 441 - 450 : 866 Total: 1399 441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700 Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018) (2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441 (2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on...

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate) 600 - 1200: 219 451 - 600 : 314 441 - 450 : 866 Total: 1399 441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700 Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018) (2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441 (2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on...

This is known as hope and a rational expectation of fairness. There's nothing wrong with seeking balance. If 3 week draws have occurred 2x this year, why not a draw today, and 3 in August to give some of us a chance. Afterall, the 3 week draw affected some of us here negatively. So, I wish you...

Congratulations! I don't see a reason why you can't update your profile accordingly. Also, wait for the experts on this thread to weigh in further.

It appears you have a score above 442, if so good for you then. The trend suggests that draws are being held up when cut off is bound to be low, hence the 3 week draws. If 3 week draws have happened 2x this year already (which has kept ITAs away from equally good candidates in the pool, till...

We hope IRCC will respond to our yearnings positively with either a back to back draw today, and/or a substantial increase in draw size, coupled with a new guideline that freezes ITA candidates' age in the pool till profile expiry or renewal.

This is unfortunate! The draw strategy this year appears to be nullifying the essence of having a pool of qualified ITA hopefuls at all. Since, draws now seem to take place only when there are enough high scoring candidates, usually above (442+). Let's hope tomorrow's (if possible) or next...

Never give up, things can still change for the better.

Except for trying to effect some balance in cut offs, there are none. So far this year it seems the draw intervals are being channelled to favor the very best, regardless what's going on in the pool, and as long as they remain on course to meeting this year's targets. This is neither a...

So, true. A back to back draw won't have been necessary, if they had maintained a 2 week draw interval since the beginning of the year. Some people from 438 to 440 could have gotten ITA till date. Now, something will have to be done soon, such as back to back draws, increase in draw size to...

If they can manipulate the draw interval to favor new entrants (seemingly), then to be fair, they might surprise us with a draw tomorrow. So as to ensure people like you with such high scores and excellent IELTS don't loose out completely due to their increasing age (after sacrificing so much...

...and fair to everyone of us that has been overlooked for a while now. About time something is done to benefit us too. Maybe, a draw tomorrow, followed by OINP. I wish you the very best.

Some people dropped off from 441 to 435 recently (due to their age), while the draw was being interrupted with the 3 week stunt (waiting for higher crs candidates to flood the pool). This is like shifting the goal line with no empathy, at others expense. Life sometimes is like this, but we can...

A Wednesday draw this week to compensate those who lost out due to the mass issuance of PNPs in the last one would further strengthen my hope in IRCC. True, a program specific draw is plausible in October. I only hope OINP comes to our rescue before then. Also, some people with scores 438/439 to...

@gauravmlal also agrees with you. Thanks.

Hopeful and realistic, hard to achieve this combination with this year's express entry's trend, but you have with your analysis. 441 with a 3rd week of June cut off...on the condition that a draw does happen on the 25th of July, with 3750 ITAs. This looks promising, as long as no more 3 week...

Can you please assess this projection and the tie break dates, based on your figures: Assuming new entrants 442 above (including new pnp recipients) are 300/week, hence the following estimates on 24th July: 440 till 24th July: 1400 441 till 24th July: 1400 442 and above: 600 Total: 3400...

If this is not a coincidence (I hope it is), then it appears to be a 'finger on the scale approach' that's not fair to those that have been in the pool for so long, and those that'll be loosing vital points due to age. Unfortunately, by the time they realise they might not meet this year's...