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Not sure about your hypothesis however if we see another 250 ITAs hike this month then we can safely assume that total ITAs will increase by 250 every month and by mid year it will reach 4000 which should bring the CRS cutoff down at 420 level!
there are more angles for prediction but I just did straight and simple calculation...one of the catch for IRCC is they calculate on the basis of people landed and not ITA so this data even though not totally useless but is some what redundant...and for PR to land they have to ensure that they are processed and issues PPR...so mid of the year there will be high number of ITAs and end of year they would be reduced which will again increase mid ITA numbers...
 
Another data with reduced ITA's from August as IRCC calculates on PR landing and not on ITA's issued

Invitations to apply issued Number of invitations to apply issued Minimum CRS points required Cutoff
Draw 81 10-Jan 2,750 446
Draw 82 24-Jan 2,750 444
Draw 83 7-Feb 3,000 442
Draw 84 21-Feb 3,000 442
Draw 85 7-Mar 4,400 440
Draw 86 21-Mar 4,400 438
Draw 87 4-Apr 4,400 437
Draw 88 18-Apr 4,400 436
Draw 89 2-May 4,400 434
Draw 90 16-May 4,400 433
Draw 91 30-May 4,400 431
Draw 92 13-Jun 4,400 430
Draw 93 (PNP) 13-Jun 143 429
Draw 94 (FSTC) 13-Jun 400 427
Draw 95 27-Jun 4,400 426
Draw 96 Date 3,450 424
Draw 97 Date 3,202 423
Draw 98 Date 3,264 422
Draw 99 Date 2,991 420
Draw 100 Date 3,035 419
Draw 101 Date 2,772 418
Draw 102 Date 2,871 416
Draw 103 Date 2,801 417
Draw 104 Date 2,757 413
Draw 105 (PNP) Date 290 412
Draw 106 (FSTC) Date 505 410
Draw 107 Date 2,000 409
Draw 108 Date 2,750 407
Draw 109 Date 2,750 406
Draw 110 Date 2,750 405

last 6 months as per last year reduced number of ITA's per month further we progress in the year...
again don't blame me I know this is not happening but its not impossible either...
will appreciate your thoughts...
 
I think CIC this year will make draws in a systematic manner. There were few draws with 2750 and then few with 3000 ITA. Soon we will see another 250 increase and then 500. So in a few months we will most likely see draws with 3500 and 3750 ITAs. The cut off will down a lot by then. Last year the no of ITAs fluctuated a lot thats why there were more ITAs in the first 6 months compared to last 6. This year however, I belive they want to keep the no stable throughout the year.
 
Hello Friends,
I need help! I got ITA in December 2017 and my deadline expires within 15 days. However, I am still awaiting one very important paper (document proving my common law union). So, if anyone can tell me what to do. Should I decline my invitation and wait next round since my score is 457, or.... ?
And, are there any consequences, if I withdraw my invitation, because I already filled all needed data, but did not upload any files?
Thank you very much in advance.
 
Hello Friends,
I need help! I got ITA in December 2017 and my deadline expires within 15 days. However, I am still awaiting one very important paper (document proving my common law union). So, if anyone can tell me what to do. Should I decline my invitation and wait next round since my score is 457, or.... ?
And, are there any consequences, if I withdraw my invitation, because I already filled all needed data, but did not upload any files?
Thank you very much in advance.
I think seniors can answer you better but at 457 score, you shouldn't be afraid of declining & entering the pool again.
 
Hi Guys,

I have submitted my Express Entry profile early last week on 28th Feb 2018 and my CRS score is 474.

Would like to know by when can I expect a revert on ITA. Do you think I will get ITA in this month's draw or is it too early.

Regards
 
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Hi Guys,

I have submitted my Express Entry profile early last week on 28th Feb 2018 and my CRS score is 474.

Would like to by when can I expect a revert on ITA. Do you think I will get ITA in this month's draw or is it too early.

Regards

The next draw is on March 7th...all the best for that draw.
 
Hello Seniors,

I'd like to find out which is the fastest... Going through PNP nomination Express entry or starting from ITA and not through PNP express entry route...

I mean you get PNP through express and getting ITA or not go through PNP at all
 
Hello Seniors,

I'd like to find out which is the fastest... Going through PNP nomination Express entry or starting from ITA and not through PNP express entry route...

I mean you get PNP through express and getting ITA or not go through PNP at all

If you have high CRS in EE profile it is the fastest and economical way. If you are not able to get a score more than 410 then PNP is the only option for you.
 
If you have high CRS in EE profile it is the fastest and economical way. If you are not able to get a score more than 410 then PNP is the only option for you.
Do you think people with 410 n below CRS score would stand a chance for OINP even ? considering the current trend OINP is even sticking around the same range 430s n above.... :(
 
Do you think people with 410 n below CRS score would stand a chance for OINP even ? considering the current trend OINP is even sticking around the same range 430s n above.... :(
Thank you for your response. I know the cost implication already. My concern is on the period of getting PPR. Most importantly, concerned about the timeline. Heard that those who get nominated get PPR faster... How true is this. Thank you