Prelude said:
What's the current timeline like for outland applicants that are American? My wife's app was received on September 17th and we got AOR on November 6th. I've heard 6 - 9 months is typical, but I've also heard a lot of people say 8 - 12.
Could she feasibly have PR by around March of 2016, or is that fairly unlikely? I'm just not really sure what kind of a range of dates to expect to be looking at, haha.
There are still those from February and March who are US Applicants and still are waiting, while there are also a handful from May who've received PR.
There's really no accurate way to gauge how long it'll take; much of it is luck of the draw. I'd say it could range from 6-12 months for US Applicants, with the
average being somewhere around 9.
Like Andrew-Brit said, I'd study the spreadsheets.
It should be noted that IP has now changed in how soon it shows up in ECAS for applications submitted mid-May. IP once meant that your application should see DM in a month or two after it changed; now, IP appears around the time SA appears or an applications arrive at secondary VOs. Since so few—if any—under this "new system" have seen DM, I don't know how long it takes for an application to go from IP to DM anymore—certainly not a month or two, since that would put most applications only at the 4.5 month mark.
I'm hoping to see DM by the end of December, though realistically, I expect to see it in January; the holiday season will likely mean little will get done for a two-week plus time period.
I've been waiting since the first week of May, under the old IP system where it shows up months after SA. I got IP on October 9th (approximately 5 months later from submitting), and a month has passed with no changes in ECAS. (Now, I'm just over 6 months wait time.) To see DM in January would put me at 8 months, which is what I'm going to assume is a reasonable wait-time given historical trends of the data.
There's no way to predict any of it; I wish we could! However, I wish you speedy processing and a lucky pile-placement.
