Ray of hope 61st draw

[dimon_pockemon]

I've just calculated that between January 3 and march 29 200 ppl per day on average were added to the pool with crs more than 350.
Here are my calculations:
1) On January 3, there were 40942ppl with CRS > 350
2) On March 29 there were 33308 ppl with CRS > 350
3) between January 3 and march 29 200, 24663 ITA were issued
4) therefore between these two dates 17028 ppl were added to the pool
5) It gives 17028/85 = 200 ppl per day on average with CRS > 350

 

[Raorulz]

Well..
1- The 3 weeks in March were enough to gather 3600 new applications with +441 score.
2- As such, two weeks might be enough to have 3600 new applications with +420 or even 430.
3- No one expected the three consecutive draws in April. My score was enough but I didnt expect a draw on the 19th and I didnt sumbit the profile.. I know some ppl who did the same..

if we go by your logic then can you explain that even though there was a gap of almost 2 weeks between the 24 march and 05 April draw but the crs toppled down from 441 to 431. How.

 

[Raorulz]

Well..
1- The 3 weeks in March were enough to gather 3600 new applications with +441 score.
2- As such, two weeks might be enough to have 3600 new applications with +420 or even 430.
3- No one expected the three consecutive draws in April. My score was enough but I didnt expect a draw on the 19th and I didnt sumbit the profile.. I know some ppl who did the same..

moreover why do you think that what happens in 3 weeks time would happen now in 2 weeks itself. I don't find any logical or sound reasoning in your predictions except strong pessimistic approach and negativity. What would happen isn't known to anyone. But cmon buddy this is ray of hope. I don't even have my ECA completed by now but I'm still hopeful in the current scenario.

You be positive and file your case. Upload ur EE profile. Best of luck.

 

[bhargav57]

moreover why do you think that what happens in 3 weeks time would happen now in 2 weeks itself. I don't find any logical or sound reasoning in your predictions except strong pessimistic approach and negativity. What would happen isn't known to anyone. But cmon buddy this is ray of hope. I don't even have my ECA completed by now but I'm still hopeful in the current scenario.

You be positive and file your case. Upload ur EE profile. Best of luck.

Hey Raorulz.
As u said you are waiting for your ECA.. have you submitted your EE profile?

 

[bhargav57]

The reason behind my question is I am also waiting for the my wife's ECA, which will give me 10 points hopefully. And thanks to some people in this thread who replied that I can modify my profile after submission.

 

[Confused_oldman]

I've just calculated that between January 3 and march 29 200 ppl per day on average were added to the pool with crs more than 350.
Here are my calculations:
1) On January 3, there were 40942ppl with CRS > 350
2) On March 29 there were 33308 ppl with CRS > 350
3) between January 3 and march 29 200, 24663 ITA were issued
4) therefore between these two dates 17028 ppl were added to the pool
5) It gives 17028/85 = 200 ppl per day on average with CRS > 350

Sounds about right. But as recent as a couple of weeks back, i calculated 228 people joining per day during a 5 day period above 423.
So, going with an average of 200 and a 5 day average couple of weeks back, it is safe to say, number of profiles submitted has increased by 30-50 people per day from January to April.

 

[bhkh2012]

I got a Express Entry score of 440. I just registered last week.

What should I do for provincial nomination? Should I do that or just wait ?

 

[bunny2015]

According to the CRS Score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry Pool (which indicates as of 13 April 2017, but it has changed its numbers since then), there are still 2804 candidates above 420. I'm assuming the system is updating as the numbers are not similar the first day it was published. Therefore, I believe the score would be from 415-420 with roughly around 3800-4000 ITAs. I could be wrong, and I don't even know why there is a change in the numbers, as it is still showing the as of date on the "13 April 2017"

 

[hemuriva]

According to the CRS Score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry Pool (which indicates as of 13 April 2017, but it has changed its numbers since then), there are still 2804 candidates above 420. I'm assuming the system is updating as the numbers are not similar the first day it was published. Therefore, I believe the score would be from 415-420 with roughly around 3800-4000 ITAs. I could be wrong, and I don't even know why there is a change in the numbers, as it is still showing the as of date on the "13 April 2017"

Dude u are forgetting there was a draw at 415 on 19 april. So score will drop. As all candidates above 420 alredy got ita.
Considering 1600 ppl join in 2 weeks and abt 1200 above 420. Then also score will go down on 3 rd may and even 10 may

 

[andieangel]

Dude u are forgetting there was a draw at 415 on 19 april. So score will drop. As all candidates above 420 alredy got ita.
Considering 1600 ppl join in 2 weeks and abt 1200 above 420. Then also score will go down on 3 rd may and even 10 may

Exactly! +1

 

[Raorulz]

Hey Raorulz.
As u said you are waiting for your ECA.. have you submitted your EE profile?

nope. I haven't. Coz without ECA n IELTS I can't submit my EE profile.

 

[Umidjon90]

Hello everyone,

What is the probablity of getting selected on May 3, with CRS 410 ?

 

[chente]

Hello everyone,

What is the probablity of getting selected on May 3, with CRS 410 ?

Possible, i would say the score would be around that if there is a draw on 3rd

 

[Umidjon90]

Possible, i would say the score would be around that if there is a draw on 3rd

Thank you chente, I see you also got OINP NOI, I cant decide to wait for ITA or submit application, how about you ?

 

[chente]

Thank you chente, I see you also got OINP NOI, I cant decide to wait for ITA or submit application, how about you ?

If I were you I will wait 1-2 draws. For me it is more difficult, I am preparing documents for OINP but still hopes on direct ITA.