Ray of hope 61st draw

[dimon_pockemon]

Hello everyone,

What is the probablity of getting selected on May 3, with CRS 410 ?

I think it is very low. According to my calculations, min CRS will be 412 on May 3.
At least 2800 ppl will join pool in 14 days with CRS > 400. Therefore, there is only 900 ITA available for peaple who were in the pool on April 19.
As a result, CRS will drop by 3 point. And it in best case scenario

 

[Umidjon90]

If I were you I will wait 1-2 draws. For me it is more difficult, I am preparing documents for OINP but still hopes on direct ITA.

Thank you chente !!,
I will wait for a couple of weeks then

 

[bunny2015]

Dude u are forgetting there was a draw at 415 on 19 april. So score will drop. As all candidates above 420 alredy got ita.
Considering 1600 ppl join in 2 weeks and abt 1200 above 420. Then also score will go down on 3 rd may and even 10 may

I understand your point, but that was correct if the numbers would not changed. I've calculated this way because, although the date has not been changed, the numbers have changed recently, and I wonder why...

 

[Umidjon90]

I think it is very low. According to my calculations, min CRS will be 412 on May 3.
At least 2800 ppl will join pool in 14 days with CRS > 400. Therefore, there is only 900 ITA available for peaple who were in the pool on April 19.
As a result, CRS will drop by 3 point. And it in best case scenario

Thank you,
What is your prediction for later draws then ? Can I hope for the crs score to go down to 410 in later draws ?

 

[dimon_pockemon]

Thank you,
What is your prediction for later draws then ? Can I hope for the crs score to go down to 410 in later draws ?

If there are 3 RoI in 6 weeks with 3600ITA, CRS will drop bellow 410.
here is my calculations:

1) 3 * 3600 = 10800 ITA in 6 weeks
2) 6 * 1400 = 8400 ppl with CRS > 400
3) 10800 - 8400 = 2400 ppl. it is 8 points
4) So CRS can drop by 8 points in 6 weeks. 6 weeks starts from April 19.
However, it is best case scenario.

 

[rthoguluva]

If there are 3 RoI in 6 weeks with 3600ITA, CRS will drop bellow 410.
here is my calculations:

1) 3 * 3600 = 10800 ITA in 6 weeks
2) 6 * 1400 = 8400 ppl with CRS > 400
3) 10800 - 8400 = 2400 ppl. it is 8 points
4) So CRS can drop by 8 points in 6 weeks. 6 weeks starts from April 19.
However, it is best case scenario.

Hey Dimon_pockemon, Just I want to understand how did you say 10800 in 6 weeks and 8400/10800 more than 400.
Did you see it in tracker? If yes, Please send me the link of the tracker for my knowledge.

Many Thanks,
rthoguluva

 

[Umidjon90]

If there are 3 RoI in 6 weeks with 3600ITA, CRS will drop bellow 410.
here is my calculations:

1) 3 * 3600 = 10800 ITA in 6 weeks
2) 6 * 1400 = 8400 ppl with CRS > 400
3) 10800 - 8400 = 2400 ppl. it is 8 points
4) So CRS can drop by 8 points in 6 weeks. 6 weeks starts from April 19.
However, it is best case scenario.

Okey, thank you

 

[tj4canada]

What's the best way to display an image here?

 

[krishna1688]

EE Score 431 423 415
ITA 3753 3923 3665
5-Apr 12-Apr 19-Apr
1 601 1200 124 49 108 59
2 451 600 422 212 354 142
3 441 450 137 52 93 41
4 431 440 1927 86 136 50
5 421 430 2976 2973 115 -858
6 411 420 3119 3157 3165 8
7 401 410 3567 3610 3611 1
8 391 400 3274 3292 3249 -43
9 381 390 4008 4020 3992 -28
10 371 380 4340 4380 4393 13
11 361 370 4623 4603 4593 -10
12 351 360 4791 4823 4801 -22
13 301 350 15584 15608 15526 -82
14 0 300 2779 2789 2778 -11

51671 49654 48914 -740

The differecne between the rounds held on 12th April and 19 th april. negative shows the decrease and positive shows the increase in Nos

 

[toronto25]

Any score prediction for month of july please...

 

[andieangel]

Any score prediction for month of july please...

I believe it will go below 400, around 380-390. Solely because most of candidates are in that range currently in the pool and not that many with high scores are entering.

 

[bhkh2012]

Some one please guide:

I got a Express Entry score of 440. I just registered last week.

What should I do for provincial nomination? Should I do that or just wait ?

 

[Umidjon90]

Some one please guide:

I got a Express Entry score of 440. I just registered last week.

What should I do for provincial nomination? Should I do that or just wait ?

Province of Ontario can itself pick you up and send you notification of interest, if you have selected Ontario as a province of interest, for other provinces you need to find out on their websites, hope this helps

 

[Aashy09]

I believe it will go below 400, around 380-390. Solely because most of candidates are in that range currently in the pool and not that many with high scores are entering.

Yeah but what about the june changes

 

[rj16]

Some one please guide:

I got a Express Entry score of 440. I just registered last week.

What should I do for provincial nomination? Should I do that or just wait ?

Sit tight, you're in good position. Start getting your documents together!