Ray of Hope - 47th Draw

[mukulabd]

Hey folks, is there any pre-alert when 47th draw may occur? Or we can only learnt it once it happened?

Great thanks!

Nobody knows except CIC. All we can do is check the CIC website for ministerial instructions mostly on Wednesdays.

 

[theonlyseed]

I see, thanks for the comment.

 

[thestunner316]

i believe there will be a draw this wednesday, to clear out the last remaining LMIA candidates...

the next 3-4 draws will be quite interesting, to see how the additional points for international students will effect the overall points system

 

[astralsource]

I know I know they arent credible.. but here, something from OOPNP. Same predictions as here on the forum.


http://www.oopnp.com/2016/11/13/crs-points-change-new-policy-implementation-10th-november-2016/

"There is a possibility that the Cut-Off score range for ITA may go higher for at least next 4-5 draws, since the complete pool has at least 25% Canadian educated students, who will claim 30 points taking higher cut-offs. Once this is cleared, the scores should come down and settle around 440-450 in Q1 of 2017. "

 

[thestunner316]

I know I know they arent credible.. but here, something from OOPNP. Same predictions as here on the forum.


http://www.oopnp.com/2016/11/13/crs-points-change-new-policy-implementation-10th-november-2016/

"There is a possibility that the Cut-Off score range for ITA may go higher for at least next 4-5 draws, since the complete pool has at least 25% Canadian educated students, who will claim 30 points taking higher cut-offs. Once this is cleared, the scores should come down and settle around 440-450 in Q1 of 2017. "

yeah sounds about right.. not sure on 440-450 though.... but yes everyone is expecting scores to be higher for the next few draws

 

[Aal_]

I know I know they arent credible.. but here, something from OOPNP. Same predictions as here on the forum.


http://www.oopnp.com/2016/11/13/crs-points-change-new-policy-implementation-10th-november-2016/

"There is a possibility that the Cut-Off score range for ITA may go higher for at least next 4-5 draws, since the complete pool has at least 25% Canadian educated students, who will claim 30 points taking higher cut-offs. Once this is cleared, the scores should come down and settle around 440-450 in Q1 of 2017. "

Do these guys just read the forum and post as their analysis? Lol

 

[skantzidis]

I know I know they arent credible.. but here, something from OOPNP. Same predictions as here on the forum.


"There is a possibility that the Cut-Off score range for ITA may go higher for at least next 4-5 draws, since the complete pool has at least 25% Canadian educated students, who will claim 30 points taking higher cut-offs. Once this is cleared, the scores should come down and settle around 440-450 in Q1 of 2017. "

Quite frankly, I don't know how they could possibly know that at least 25% of the pool is made up of Canadian educated students. This sounds like complete speculation to me on their part. Furthermore, even if this were the case, how could anyone possibly know what the CRS scores are for this group? For example, if the average CRS score for a Canadian educated student was 380, then the extra 30 points would likely not put them in contention for an ITA. Of course, I'm not saying that this is the case - but I find it slightly irritating that websites are publishing completely unsubstantiated speculation about upcoming scores as if its fact. </end of rant>

 

[kryt0n]

Quite frankly, I don't know how they could possibly know that at least 25% of the pool is made up of Canadian educated students. This sounds like complete speculation to me on their part. Furthermore, even if this were the case, how could anyone possibly know what the CRS scores are for this group? For example, if the average CRS score for a Canadian educated student was 380, then the extra 30 points would likely not put them in contention for an ITA. Of course, I'm not saying that this is the case - but I find it slightly irritating that websites are publishing completely unsubstantiated speculation about upcoming scores as if its fact. </end of rant>

Concur 100%.

 

[BC4life]

I know I know they arent credible.. but here, something from OOPNP. Same predictions as here on the forum.


http://www.oopnp.com/2016/11/13/crs-points-change-new-policy-implementation-10th-november-2016/

"There is a possibility that the Cut-Off score range for ITA may go higher for at least next 4-5 draws, since the complete pool has at least 25% Canadian educated students, who will claim 30 points taking higher cut-offs. Once this is cleared, the scores should come down and settle around 440-450 in Q1 of 2017. "

They just copied an analysis that was made by someone here at canadavisa a few days ago

 

[astralsource]

Even if the average CRS for students is around 380 and they get 30+ to come in 400-450 range then the higher cut off score in next draws wouldnt happen and it would just come down gradually "putting significant downward pressure on the invitation CUT OFF score" - as suggested by CIC in their presentation.

The main problem for CIC was that only 35% of the ITA people are those with high (450+ CRS) human capital so this is to be solved with these measures. It isn't a question of IF but WHEN will it drop. By logic it should reach 400 at one point and therefore pick up all the students, and with them all FSW with 400+. I dont see why they would do that if that isnt the point. Sorry for my english.

I would also like to point out this aim and they make it very clear: "Increase the number of candidates invited with higher levels of human capital (including former students), and decrease the number of candidates invited with lower levels of human capital"

So it really doesnt matter how many students are there, might be 25% even, but CIC knows the numbers better then we do and OOPNP and they wouldnt bring those measures if they know they cant apply them in EE so I guess this will be the future of EE. Matter of time.


https://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cerc.ca/resource/resmgr/government_relations/Express_entry_national_stake.pdf

 

[ashu1710]

Quite frankly, I don't know how they could possibly know that at least 25% of the pool is made up of Canadian educated students. This sounds like complete speculation to me on their part. Furthermore, even if this were the case, how could anyone possibly know what the CRS scores are for this group? For example, if the average CRS score for a Canadian educated student was 380, then the extra 30 points would likely not put them in contention for an ITA. Of course, I'm not saying that this is the case - but I find it slightly irritating that websites are publishing completely unsubstantiated speculation about upcoming scores as if its fact. </end of rant>

They also assume that ALL students will get 30 points, which is incorrect. I know that a LOT of people come to Canada to study 1-2 year diploma courses.

 

[shasai]

All CEC category with 1 year experience in canada will get additional 50 points ...

waiting for Nov 19th for new changes to be implemented...

 

[ravdawg]

All CEC category with 1 year experience in canada will get additional 50 points ...

waiting for Nov 19th for new changes to be implemented...

What do you mean?

 

[ajithj]

All CEC category with 1 year experience in canada will get additional 50 points ...

waiting for Nov 19th for new changes to be implemented...

Not all CEC. Only ICT/NAFTA kind of visas that have employer name on the work permit.

CEC with PGWP or any other open work permit do not qualify for the additional 50 points.

 

[theonlyseed]

Folks, i learnt from my friends that government agency rushed to approve bunches of LMIA around the end of last week workdays....I doubt whether the brokers may on time receive the hardcopy to provide the LMIA# to complete the registration and catch up the last chance +600pts?