Ray of Hope - 47th Draw

[thourb]

When I feel discouraged, I watch CIC guy all over again. And then I look at this presentation and feel much better. Because everything is coming true. CICguy and logic, my bestfriendsforever

https://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cerc.ca/resource/resmgr/government_relations/Express_entry_national_stake.pdf

It's funny. CICguy has become somewhat of a celebrity here on CanadaVisa since his predictions... I can just imagine him coming on here to smugly say "I told you all so and you didn't believe me! Also I HAVE A NAME! And it's NOT CICGUY!"

 

[thestunner316]

why people so obsessed with the CIC guy.. he said scores will drop to below 400 eventually lol... thats just not gonna happen...

he was right about the ITAs... but yeah - even i could have predicted that....

 

[astralsource]

It's funny. CICguy has become somewhat of a celebrity here on CanadaVisa since his predictions... I can just imagine him coming on here to smugly say "I told you all so and you didn't believe me! Also I HAVE A NAME! And it's NOT CICGUY!"

I wonder if he knows he's a celebritiy

why people so obsessed with the CIC guy.. he said scores will drop to below 400 eventually lol... thats just not gonna happen...

he was right about the ITAs... but yeah - even i could have predicted that....

Well, nevermind the CICguy. This CIC presentation from July 2016 says exactly the same thing, but without mentioning the 400 low. And its happening. And it's very easy to conclude when you do the math that yes, scores are bound to go down, just a matter of time. It's a long-term project, can't happen over night, a lot of people sitting on high levels CRS because of small number of ITAs throughout the year 2016. And now it's different, we just have to wait it kicks in and to see the real number of people out there.

 

[g126]

Well you are wrong. They said before that in 2015 and 2016. Half of the targets were coming through EE. And after 2017 target announcement they said that majority of the target will come through EE. If they were drawing 1500 as a half and majority means 75% which means the number should go upto 2500. As it is going up now because all of them receiving ITAs are from 2017 target. Thats why they are drawing more. And it will continue.

The worrying thing is this, in just over a month they've issued 7800+ ITAs... I have a sneaking suspicion they wanted to get most of their quota done BEFORE the changes this Friday... Is that's the case then we're likely to see draws with much less people for the rest of the year... As a result when we should see the bar lowering, given LMIA accounted for 46% of all ITAs last year and they'll lose 550 points, we may infact see it raising due to the restrictive number of ITAs from now one... Let's hope I'm wrong! :-\

Sooorry... just can't helllp it.... I told you so!!!

They made it clear that the aim of these new measures is lowering the cut off score and giving ITA to those with higher human capital score - including students. They all move around 420-460 so it has to go down, and the number of ITAs wont drop anytime soon because it would be contradictory.

That may be so, but may be not this year... unfortunately for us!

 

[astralsource]

Sooorry... just can't helllp it.... I told you so!!!

That may be so, but may be not this year... unfortunately for us!

This was because of TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES so your point is still invalid

Yes next year is THE year..

 

[thepilot]

Real prediction, I'd say 400, if they let that idiot with 186 get in through PNP

 

[g126]

This was because of TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES so your point is still invalid

Yes next year is THE year..

We'll see

Like I've said I hope I'm wrong... ;-)

 

[g126]

Real prediction, I'd say 400, if they let that idiot with 186 get in through PNP

Actually if he's only got 186 points and he's masterfully managed to get a nomination I'd say he's a genius! heheheh

 

[thepilot]

Actually if he's only got 186 points and he's masterfully managed to get a nomination I'd say he's a genius! heheheh

My guess is that he/she worked on something sketchy.

 

[g126]

My guess is that he/she worked on something sketchy.

I was thinking that it could be some guy with 586 points and a LMIA of 200 points, but that's NOC 00XX so it would likely be someone too old for 586 points..

So my next guess is that he got a PNP though a valid job offer and did not bother doing all the extra stuff like IELTS and ECA... Or did for the PNP and didn't bother putting it in his EE profile.

 

[vensak]

I was thinking that it could be some guy with 586 points and a LMIA of 200 points, but that's NOC 00XX so it would likely be someone too old for 586 points..

So my next guess is that he got a PNP though a valid job offer and did not bother doing all the extra stuff like IELTS and ECA... Or did for the PNP and didn't bother putting it in his EE profile.

You still need IELTS or TEF test in order to be able to activate EE. However everything else including work experience or education proof is optional. So we migh be easily look on somebody who just did the pure minimum (age + language can give you that amount of points). Everything else was covered with PNP.