Ray of Hope - 119th Draw

[kevwe91]

T

Thanks, u mean whole amount of the required funds can be shown as gift deed, no contribution to funds is required from my side, right?

Whole or part, I don't think it matters. All CIC want to know is if you have access to those funds. To be extra safe tho, you could also write a letter of explanation to CIC notifying them that you got a gift from dad, you have his support and blessings with respect to migration to Canada and you have full and unrestricted access to the funds that your dad has made available via the gift deed. But this money must be in your own account. Ok?

 

[kevwe91]

When is the new CRS cut of going to come? Menn this wait is like forever

 

[Punitsingh]

My prediction:

12th June: 463 (+/-2)
26th June: 459 (+/-2)
10th July: 457 (+/-2)

After that... It will start coming down, but unlikely to break below the 450-451 mark.

This is based on a few assumptions:

• There are 240 people above 450 CRS that enter the pool everyday.
• 75% these people are 460+ CRS
• The remaining 25% are 450-460.

For people who are below 455

• 75% is a pretty big number, I am sure the percentage of 460+ is lower (however this is more likely to be the worst case).
• The assumption of all 240 above 450 CRS is also a bit wild - so the cutoff is likely to slide faster even if we have 5-10% of the 240 below 450

My CRS: 460
(Still waiting for my ECA, so not in the pool yet)

All the best everyone!

I also have same predictions and same assumptions

 

[kevwe91]

I also have same predictions and same assumptions

Is a draw going to happen today? I need to know

 

[Punitsingh]

Whole or part, I don't think it matters. All CIC want to know is if you have access to those funds. To be extra safe tho, you could also write a letter of explanation to CIC notifying them that you got a gift from dad, you have his support and blessings with respect to migration to Canada and you have full and unrestricted access to the funds that your dad has made available via the gift deed. But this money must be in your own account. Ok?

Ya, thanks

 

[Punitsingh]

Is a draw going to happen today? I need to know

Nobody can be 100% sure about it, but yes, the2 week frequency maintenance notice hint that there is a draw today

 

[kevwe91]

Nobody can be 100% sure about it, but yes, the2 week frequency maintenance notice hint that there is a draw today

Thanks. But from previous draws, when does it normally come out?

 

[Punitsingh]

Thanks. But from previous draws, when does it normally come out?

Not following the draws for long, but 29 may draw was out about 10:00 PM IST

 

[indpnv]

Thanks. But from previous draws, when does it normally come out?

Check the timestamp on the 1st post in the ROH threads. That should give you an idea.

 

[Macky1907]

Thanks. But from previous draws, when does it normally come out?

Nobody can be 100% sure about it, but yes, the2 week frequency maintenance notice hint that there is a draw today

that wouldn't mean anything for the general ones in the pool like me if tomorrow only draws provincial nominees...so far the crs distribution score still shows the previous normal draw. one wonders... If that's the case the next normall draw would still be 470 or up...the score would possibly come down again in July and later. That's just utterly disruptive and frustrating. I hope I am just paranoid, believe me!

 

[navjotbindra]

I won't be very surprised if the cutoff is more like 458-460 today (the best case)

If I were to alter our assumptions a little bit, based on last draw (after 4 weeks), only 80% of the people are above 450+.

That takes the cutoff below 460 even in today's draw. Guess we would know soon, which set of assumptions are more realistic

 

[WantToImmigrate]

People logging in -

People on seeing a different opinion -

First response to the different opinion -

After being hit by a totally reasonable explanation for the different opinion -

ROH thread 5 minutes later -

Boss sees you commenting on forums of Canadavisa.com -

 

[EnthuChap]

Wicked Wednesday is here again. Besides certainly wanting a draw, I am banking on a 3900 draw size. There has to be some increment on the 3350 figure and that would imply more positives in the near future.

 

[kalex123]

I think score will not be greater than 460
Unless there are number of people with more than 600+ score

 

[skg1988]

Wicked Wednesday is here again. Besides certainly wanting a draw, I am banking on a 3900 draw size. There has to be some increment on the 3350 figure and that would imply more positives in the near future.

It's going to be 3700 or more.