My ambitious attempt at trying to predict the number of ITAs for Jan. draw!!!

[idefix]

Yup this is exactly the case. You only stand to lose points with a spouse, you cannot gain additional points.

It's hard to gain - but I did.

My wife has CLB 9+ on all skills + a bachelor's degree (and we had done her ECA for FSW).

Without her I would have 480 points. With her I got 482 points. Small difference, but possible nonetheless.

 

[desertfox]

It's hard to gain - but I did.

My wife has CLB 9+ on all skills + a bachelor's degree (and we had done her ECA for FSW).

Without her I would have 480 points. With her I got 482 points. Small difference, but possible nonetheless.

both of you should open EE profile if your spouse has skilled experience

 

[idefix]

both of you should open EE profile if your spouse has skilled experience

We thought about it, but I have more points as principal applicant than she does. So what's the point on creating two profiles?

 

[desertfox]

We thought about it, but I have more points as principal applicant than she does. So what's the point on creating two profiles?

in the unlikely event u don't get invites in first few draws, then u need to wait for employers or provinces to pick you. Two profile for the couple, two different noc, more chance of getting picked. I hope u understand now.

 

[newGirl_sk]

We thought about it, but I have more points as principal applicant than she does. So what's the point on creating two profiles?

how about double the chances of getting picked?!!

 

[idefix]

in the unlikely event u don't get invites in first few draws, then u need to wait for employers or provinces to pick you. Two profile for the couple, two different noc, more chance of getting picked. I hope u understand now.

how about double the chances of getting picked?!!

I do understand what you mean. But I'll wait for the first two draws first. If I'm not picked, we'll probably create profile for her as well.

I think there won't be many nominations by Provinces on the first months. And the job bank is not even working yet...

Thanks you guys

 

[praneet87]

I do understand what you mean. But I'll wait for the first two draws first. If I'm not picked, we'll probably create profile for her as well.

I think there won't be many nominations by Provinces on the first months. And the job bank is not even working yet...

Thanks you guys

You have 482 without Canadian experience? Thats mighty impressive. Didn't even know that was possible.

 

[Froze950]

Hello,

The average score right now ( from spread sheet ) is 412. I think they will be picking people with above average scores. 450 + should be okay.

Just my thought.

 

[idefix]

You have 482 without Canadian experience? Thats mighty impressive. Didn't even know that was possible.

Thanks

 

[hedonist10]

based on our spreadsheet if we ignore people with Canadian experience, the average score is 374 and median score is 369. But this information is not useful because out data is highly left skewed. I think the percentile distribution of scores gives more information. The percentile or Quantile distribution is given below.
Quantile Estimate
100% 482
99% 481
95% 464
90% 446
75% 412
50% 369
25% 345
10% 316
5% 301
I hope this clarifies some questions. 482 is highest score. If your score is 446 or more you are in top 10%, if it is more than 464 you are in top 5%, if more than 425 in top 15%, if it more than 412 you are in top 25%.
1% 206
0% Min 102

 

[hedonist10]

Dear friends,
I have a question about PCC. I am from India and currently in USA on study permit. Do I need PCC from India or USA or from both in case I receive ITA.
Help is really appreciated

 

[Core2]

Hello,

The average score right now ( from spread sheet ) is 412. I think they will be picking people with above average scores. 450 + should be okay.

Just my thought.

I think they will still go by NOC and skill set. We can not predict draw on the basis of high points only. what if only computer programmers are in majority of high score? will they call all computer guys. I dont think it is possible. They will balance the ratio on skill set. So in some NOCs there will be a fair chance for people who are less then 400 points. Even guys who score 320-350 can make it if there is not competition in there skill set. lets wait and see the trend of draws.

 

[aravindkumarh]

Dear friends,
I have a question about PCC. I am from India and currently in USA on study permit. Do I need PCC from India or USA or from both in case I receive ITA.
Help is really appreciated

Hedonist, you have to get PCC from every country you stayed for more than continuous 6 months after your 18 years of age

 

[insouciant]

I think they will still go by NOC and skill set. We can not predict draw on the basis of high points only. what if only computer programmers are in majority of high score? will they call all computer guys. I dont think it is possible. They will balance the ratio on skill set. So in some NOCs there will be a fair chance for people who are less then 400 points. Even guys who score 320-350 can make it if there is not competition in there skill set. lets wait and see the trend of draws.

totally agree with you buddy.
But most of the guys here are not considering this important factor.

 

[anishsm]

I think they will still go by NOC and skill set. We can not predict draw on the basis of high points only. what if only computer programmers are in majority of high score? will they call all computer guys. I dont think it is possible. They will balance the ratio on skill set. So in some NOCs there will be a fair chance for people who are less then 400 points. Even guys who score 320-350 can make it if there is not competition in there skill set. lets wait and see the trend of draws.

That's my opinion too it will be evenly or at least close to evenly distributed by NOC and programme. As usual hence in the hot NOCs the stakes are always higher. And that's why I am a bit pessimistic. If the draw count is huge, then there would be something in it for the likes of me (2173 NOc)