It says the processing time is 25 months + nomination time, seems very slow as it is non express entry?
First, I don't see how clearing 500+ is an achievement. there are CEC candidates with 470-480 points who are perfectly fine candidates and would be invited in any other year before this whole bullshit. now some of them have either lost their jobs already or are on the brink of losing them. I don't see how clearing up 500+ in only 4 months will help
What I meant is 6000 profiles were created between the previous draw (june 22nd) and the first all programs draw (july 6th)
No. Say there are 8000 ppl at 501-600 right now. A draw of the size 1500 has always 600 PNP minimum, so 900 for FHS. Then on average there are 300 ppl entering the pool every 2 weeks in the range 501-600, so 600 ppl cleared every draw. 8000/600 = 13.3 draws, also 26 weeks.
Lilyt made a very good point about even 4 months being a long time and people who were 470-480 still deserve to be invited, but also if 1.5k is the size going forward, it'll take about 8 months to clear 500+. Every draw there are 600-900 PNP and every draw on average 350 new 500+ people will join. So to clear the 8000 backlog of 500+, we need 16-20 draws which will take 8-9 months
But that's assuming if they keep the same draw size , as they have to invite 75000 ppl approx... Let's see how they roll in the next few draws which will help set some kind of trend as one draw doesn't help us much in terms of drawing out a trend. Also things could be different later this year with new TEER system where some new profiles will be eligible and also bill c-19 implementation
IRCC has never had any problem meeting their quota. *cough* 75 CEC mega draw.
Well, the mega draw was under a very different circumstance and it's unlikely that ever happens again. Sure they will meet their qouta but I think November plan might be higher or same or lower no-one knows but definitely the next few draws will tell us what to expect.
Yes agreed. If I have to guess 1500 will be the "no catagory" quota in the future, with other 2k/draw given to catagories. There could also be francophone mega draw, tech mega draw etc. whence they introduce the catagories. I won't be surprised if the first few draws are heavily catagory-focused.
