margobear96 said:
I'm simply saying that without a statement of what percentage of denials are actually appealed he/she cannot reach that conclusion. I said "presumably" (i.e., it is reasonable to assume) that only people in a genuine relationship are likely to appeal as an illustration that IMO the percentage appealed is probably not close to 100%.
Actually i did find some basic stats: http://www.irb-cisr.gc.ca/Eng/tribunal/stat/Pages/iadsai.aspx
It shows in 2012 there were 6,100 new appeals filed for ALL refused sponsorship cases, removal orders, and residency obligation orders.
For 2012 (Oct 2011 - Sept 2012 stats), ALL outland sponsorship refusals amounted to around 10K (2.5K parents, 6K spouse, 1.5K children and other).
I'm guessing that the majority of new appeal cases by volume involve sponsorships, as opposed to removals and obligation appeals. So that would put the % of refused cases that file for appeal, at around 50-60%. Or if perhaps more of the 6K spousal refusals are appealed since they are more open to interpretation as opposed to the more straightforward parent and children cases... the % of spousal appeals could be much higher. Unfortunately no clear definition of the stats.
There are definitely cases where the appeal judge cites specific errors in judgement on the VO's part. This is why I would really like to see a simple panel do a review of all refused cases, before the VO's decision becomes permanent. This would be just a check if the VO has overstepped their boundaries or is way out of line with a refusal and is not following their operating procedure properly.
IMO, I think VOs are guided by the CIC to ensure only a certain number of applications get approved. It's no secret Canada has set limits on how many new immigrants they want coming to Canada each year (i think it's around 200K). And its also no secret that there has been a big shift from family class to economic class here. So there is probably some undocumented "quota" of refusals a VO must hit, to ensure the correct number of family class immigrants are allowed. If a VO approves too many applications, they would be looked at as not doing their job properly and not weeding out the frauds. So often i think a VO needs to refuse every so many applications, and perhaps refuse one with just a few minor red flags that they would normally pass. Just a thought of course... no evidence whatsoever to back this up.