ottomancan said:
Do they have to officially give a notice for cut off day by law? Like a week or 15 days? Or we wake up on 19th and surprise it is 4 out of 6 years?
Technically notice has already been given: Bill C-24 incorporating this revision, the 4/6 rule, was tabled in February 2014 and received Royal Assent June 19, 2014. That Bill, now known as the
Strengthening Canadian Citizenship Act, explicitly states the new rule and explicitly sets out the transitional provisions for how the changes it includes will be implemented.
To be clear: the
SCCA is law, fully adopted. So there is notice indeed of these changes.
Additionally, there are some regulatory changes being adopted which will be implemented in conjunction with the revised grant citizenship requirements, and these were published (hence further giving of
Notice) in March. The comment period for the proposed regulatory changes has expired, so these could be registered and come into force any day (allowing, however, their coming into force will be dependent on the respective provisions in the
SCCA coming into force).
The only part not known is what the exact date will be for putting certain provisions into force, including those which will determine what the last date an application may be made and still be processed under the current 3/4 rule rather than the new 4/6 rule.
That date is to be determined by the Governor in Council (in practice a decision made by PM Harper and a close circle of advisers within his PMO and Cabinet). The Governor in Council will issue an order fixing the coming-into-force date.
When the Governor in Council makes that order, or very shortly thereafter, we will know for certain what the coming-into force date will be. We will know because the date will be explicitly stated in that order.
The thing is, the order itself may fix the very next day as the coming-into-force day, or a date a few days away, or weeks away . . . in the last year I have seen these orders range from being issued the previous day (multiple occasions of this), three days before the date fixed, one was six weeks, and one was months prior to the coming-into-force date. I have not looked at every one of these orders for other acts of Parliament in the last year, but enough to see that there is no general pattern.
Thus, while many have been guessing (including me) that this order is likely to be issued at least a few days prior to the date it fixes as the coming-into-force date,
we do NOT know if it will be issued more than just the day before . . . just like what the date itself will be continues to be unknown.
I do not think it is going to happen before May 22, but it could. I do not think it will be any later than July 17th, but it might.
We do not know. All suggestions to the contrary, informed guesses included, are at most speculation, no more reliable than the apparently typical response by most call centre representatives, that the date will be June 19.
For clarification: this is NOT a date determined by CIC or CIC Minister Chris Alexander. The Minister probably knows the date, and may have had some input into the decision, but this is a decision made at the very top of this government. Not at the top of CIC but at the top of the Harper government. Many similar decisions for other Acts of Parliament may be more or less dictated by the respective government agency or department, but not for the high profile ones like the
SCCA.