bestofluck, you've limited reasoning and comprehension abilities so let's break this down for you.
1. So far, CIC does indeed appear to have a strategy of inviting close to 3000 applicants per month in 2 roughly equal sized draws. Cutoff is artificially controlled by delaying/advancing draws with the main agenda always being - issue roughly 3000 ITAs per month.
2. 450 is a derivative number. It has no significance. Which is why your predictions of draw scores were consistently silly. If you don't know the pool composition AND number of ITAs to be issued, you cannot predict draw cutoff. Period.
4. Back to back draws bring down the cutoff sharply because the pool doesn't fill up significantly within 1 week. Which is why everytime there is a back to back draw, the cutoff has fallen to 450. Which should be alarming to you if you understood what's going on.
5. If CIC doesn't increase ITAs per draw and/or doesn't increase frequency of back to back draws, cutoff is unlikely to fall below 450. This assumes that the percentage of World population interested in immigrating to Canada wouldn't change overnight.
6. When the backlogs get over, CIC will increase the ITAs per draw because they need immigrants. They're unlikely to increase frequency of draws because that'll require an immediate drastic manpower increase.
7. When they increase the ITAs per draw, the immediate beneficiaries will be people stuck just below 450. They've been waiting since the 1st draw - almost 12 months now. Too many people fill those spaces because they have an 'almost-there' score with no scope of improving it further. Add to this the number of people who enter the pool each day.
8. Even if CIC doubles ITSs per draw to 3000 and invites 6000 people per month, these additional numbers can be safely met just between 400 and 449 for the first few months. And even then the cutoff can still be artificially controlled by delaying/advancing draws.
9. It is unlikely that the draw cutoff will ever fall below 430 assuming it goes that low in the first place.
10. This is called reasoning. If you haven't looked it up yet, do so now. And next tine you attempt to misquote me, I won't bother responding or clarifying my stand so that other forum members don't get confused. I will assume you haven't looked up reasoning.
PS: Ratings will get me more than a job in Canada. If you can comprehend it, think of how 2 anonymous members on an online forum are rated so differently by other anonymous users. If anonymous users rate you this low, do start worrying about how difficult real-life would be. For you.
All the best with your OINP application and more.
