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His figures of 47,800 ITAs are wrong. He is making the assumption that 1 ITA = 1.5 successful landed immigrants. He doesn't take into account the fact that many people receive an ITA and do not go on to complete an application, and on top of that there are many who are rejected. I discussed the...

It's somewhat more difficult to work out the 440's and 450's from the data. The primary reason for this is that we don't have any draws in the 440's at all, so the best I can easily calculate is a snapshot of how many candidates were in the 440's on the date in question. Similarly, the closest...

He is essentially quoting the guy in the original CIC video. Bear in mind at that there are likely to be 15,000+ candidates at 400CRS and above. It is only feasible that score can go down as low as 400 if they clear the backlog and the number of ITAs rises to record levels. You can't rule that...

Something which is worth repeating though as this is the "Ray of Hope" thread for the 46th draw... Please don't post garbage on here that is published by OOPNP. I've just re-read their article from two days ago which said that there will be a "higher cut-off" with CRS of 481-483 and ITAs of...

Yeah, I guess this thread is going to go pretty quiet now. Congratulations to you all - best of luck with the next steps :)

I agree. Many (but certainly not all) had the opinion that there were many thousands backlogged at 481 points as "that is the maximum you can get with perfect age, experience, masters degree and language". I've always argued that 481 is a very tough score to reach on that basis - even native...

I posted a bit of an analysis in another thread which I don't think can be far off on the basis of this draw: Historically, on the data we have available, we know that 60% of ITAs go to those with PNPs or LMIAs. This is on the basis that there is an average 1350 ITAs given per draw (this is...

Although it's too early to say that he was definitively "right" - note he promised scores would drop to around the 400 CRS level - we're certainly moving in the right direction. It's difficult to say at the moment whether the number of ITAs going up is as a result of the backlog clearing or the...

Congratulations to all those who are 475 or above! Will people finally stop taking as gospel the rubbish that oopnp publish now? Their last post only two days ago had the headline "CIC 45th Draw scores prediction, higher cut-off, policy announcements, Ontario PNP Expected" and their prediction...

Not sure I quite understand your argument. The reasons that CIC give more points to younger people have already been explained. My argument is based on the assumption that age and experience factors are equal, but there is a gulf between two candidates in education. In the case that the lesser...

Personally I still think that 200 CRS for an LMIA is too high. Take these two examples and decide who you think that the better person is to better the Canadian economy in the long term: Applicant 1: Single, Age 28, Education: One year college program, Language: CLB7 in all areas, Foreign Work...

It is a deliberate decision on the part of the Canadian government to offer a proportionately high number of points to those who are young. People under 30 are going to contribute to the Canadian economy for longer, pay more taxes, generally be healthier and will be less reliant on state aid...

I agree. CIC are considering changing the number of points awarded for LMIA to solve the problem that there are too many people getting through with offers to work as cooks or supervisors at places such as McDonalds (16% of all immigrants last year). Now, whilst we do need fast food supervisors...

Another possible change is that they will be lowering the number of CRS points given to those who have an LMIA backed job offer. This should mean that CRS points will drop significantly and give greater chances to those with high human capital scores. I'm convinced that those who have 460 or...

Have actually found a more clearly worded source, directly from CIC: http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/information/applications/guides/pdf/eca_table_en.pdf There is no requirement that the two year diploma be after the bachelors and also no requirement that it be a "postgraduate...

Where does it say that it has to be a postgraduate diploma (or earned after bachelors)? This is how I read it: (http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/immigrate/skilled/eca-conversion.asp) ECA assessment results: A three-year or more certificate, diploma, or degree PLUS any of the results in the...

Down for me in the UK.

Just had my ECA result: CANADIAN EQUIVALENCY SUMMARY Diploma (two years) and bachelor's degree (four years) CREDENTIAL ANALYSIS 1. Credential Authentication: Official transcripts were sent directly by the institution Country: United Kingdom Credential: Advanced Vocational Certificate of...

How many years work experience do you have?

Complete an EE profile and find out your CRS points total. If you have 470+ points, you'll likely get an invitation sometime soon anyway. There's no point in creating extra paperwork for yourself, spending $1500 more and delaying everything by up to a year if you're going to get a nomination...