Ray of Hope - 141st Draw
- Thread starter 13nitinsharma
- Start date
With all due respect, this kind of people make me sick.
You do realize that you might be taking the spot of someone who does wish to settle in Canada for good?
If you really want to move to Trumpland because you are an extremely gullible person and believe everything you see in Hollywood, then by all means go ahead, but please do so without crashing someone else's dreams.
Not speaking for me as I've already been a PR for over a year.
I think he is referring to the fact that to be an Uber driver you need a G license. (G2 is not allowed). Typically it takes 2 years for people from most countries to get a G license in Ontario.
been here for more than a year as well. The reason I backed out of the argument is because it's clearly a troll looking to discourage aspirants. Many of them lurking around on this forum. How they benefit from discouraging ppl I've no idea.
It's anybody's guess right now. It is too early to say because no one knows how long this situation will last. But for sure things would take time to get back to normal.
It's possible layoffs are happening. But recently government has said that they will subsidize 75% of wages for employers and asked them not to fire people. I'm not sure how much help businesses are getting on the ground and if employers will actually take this option.
This is the problem, right..you think with your 1 year as PR you know everything, you've seen everything. Please don't call me gullible because you're still in your honeymoon phase.
I've been living here for a long time now(not 1,2 or 3). I know how most things work and I'm still learning.
I'm done with this discussion. Let people come and feel it themselves. Just because I say it, it doesn't mean that people are going to stop applying. Everyone thinks they're better than the other..we live in that kind of world.
All the best !!
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the thing is not all candidates above 467 received ITA in last two draws. only candidates with specific cadre (FST n CEC) were invited. what it also means is there are still many candidates left in the pool above 467 belonging to FSW. (like me stuck at 468)
so if you see the table, there are 1047 candidates (in 470-480), and total of 1320 candidates above 480.. add to that, there are 3675 candidates in 467-470 zone(estimated as per my table)... which accounts 6042 candidates in total above 467 of which 3900 candidates (FST & CEC) were invited leaving around 2100 candidates in the pool from FSW above 467..
also, My data set is as per 13th March 2020.. after that, we had 2 draws on 19th and 23rd with total of 3900 candidates getting an ITA.. so you can deduct those but also, like the past 2-3 months trend, we have seen a new influx of ~3000 candidates almost every 2 weeks (which might have reduced as IELTS exams are postponed).. this will be the biggest factor to look for in the coming weeks.. if we have a considerable drop, a CRS cutoff of 460 is also on the cards...
In my personal opinion, I'm expecting (and badly hoping for) somewhere around 467-468 if the draw takes place on 1st April.. (fingers crossed) cheers..
Be positive, live positive, just don't test positive!!
stay home guys, stay safe!! cheers!
Just wondering if it's true or not, or maybe am wrong. If you carefully look at the table, why there's only 10 or 11 candidates difference between the CRS? Example..1093, 1083 and 1072. Is this a co incidence??
I didn't get it from a specific source.... its a statistical estimate derived using the curve fitting approach.
nope.. these stats are derived from 13th March 2020 (so, before the draw) which was published by CIC in the last draw on 23rd March 2020.
refer this.
good observation... the thing is there are almost 10k people in 10 points n almost 9.5k in subsequent 10 points gap.. so the growth rate in this region is flat n = 1.01..
in simplest form, you can divide 1st number by 1.01 and get the next one..
candidates at n = candidates at (n-1)/1.01
candidates at 452= candidates at 451/1.01 = 1093/1.01 = 1083
candidates at 453= candidates at 452/1.01 = 1083/1.01 = 1072
n so on.. try yourself..
now why 1.01 ??? well its just derived.. from growth rate... if you increase the growth rate to even 1.02, the growth is so fast, the sum of candidates shoots more than 10k for that class.. the rate should be same for two consecutive classes to get approved. and the last number of this class should link with 1st number of the next class with same growth rate n so on.... I can't simplify more than that.
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Hi, some helps needed here. I just updated my profile an hour ago and my score should have increased from 470 to 473, but the profile still showing 470 after the changes are 'transmitted'. My concern is that if the draw happen 10 hours later, will 470 or 473 be used? or will i be out of the pool because of some technical reason? Shall i withdraw my profile and re-create one? I am so worry now..Thank you all
ZAtoCD
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