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_MK_ said:
I still find it hard to believe that reaching CIC within two hours of opening is not enough to be in first 5k.

No reason to believe that. It's highly likely that a huge percentage was received on Jan 4th. But if 5k were to be receive in less than 2 hour, I don't think they would have had to wait till Jan 7th to get to 14k.

Good luck!
 
aks706 said:
No reason to believe that. It's highly likely that a huge percentage was received on Jan 4th. But if 5k were to be receive in less than 2 hour, I don't think they would have had to wait till Jan 7th to get to 14k.

Good luck!

I really want to know from some source on how many total applications were received on Jan 4th to get an idea? And I agree on your above statement.
 
Rossei said:
Has anyone seen my fancy GRAPHS on Statistics sheet? Looks like I went back to grade school.

They are great, may I suggest one enhancement if you can accommodate?

In the Provincial rate table, can you add column for number of CC charged by province and than another column for % of CC charged?
This will shut some cry (or might increase :P) about Ontario getting advantage.

Thanks a lot
 
aks706 said:
No reason to believe that. It's highly likely that a huge percentage was received on Jan 4th. But if 5k were to be receive in less than 2 hour, I don't think they would have had to wait till Jan 7th to get to 14k.

Good luck!

Agree.. Remember also that most of us here in the forum is an expert or close to expert level in terms of completing the PGP application so most likely close to 100% will be approved. But remember also that we only represents less than 2% of total 14,000 applications. Statistically speaking it unlikely that the completeness of our application here represents the whole 14K. We still have a chance. :) I know a lot of people here in AB sent their applications late (received 6th Jan). Because they don't know that the cap will be fill that fast. :D :D :D :D :D
 
aks706 said:
No reason to believe that. It's highly likely that a huge percentage was received on Jan 4th. But if 5k were to be receive in less than 2 hour, I don't think they would have had to wait till Jan 7th to get to 14k.

Good luck!

When new IPhone gets lunched people stand outside a night before to get it so that they will we be the first one to get it but if you go to Apple store on the same day in the afternoon or next day most likely you won't find that many people around. Same way when on Jan 4th PGP opened most of the application where received in the morning and after that there were few late comers lazy lads and Purolator screwed people... so that's the reason it took 4 days 4,5,6,7 Jan to reach to 14,000 apps but most of it maybe more than half was received on Jan 4th morning. So there is a reason to believe that 5k might have reached in couple of hours.
 
Nice graph Rossei thanks! Ugh... 10AM-12PM no charges yet... :-[

Guys don't forget to chip in for Rossei's hard work!

https://www.gofundme.com/2016pgp
 
Pamma97 said:
By looking at the speed and trend looks like everyone is getting charged and incomplete application this year won't be that much bcoz most of people had an idea how to apply so looks like getting into 10K will be difficult at this time :(

That is not true. Everyone ON THIS FORUM is getting changed - that is a big difference! People that hang here have the information they need to complete their application and avoid mistakes - so no surprise everyone here getting charged. But we about 200 users here (maybe s little more - don't know the exact number). There are many other who do not know about the forum and their chances are not as good..
 
Pamma97 said:
When new IPhone gets lunched people stand outside a night before to get it so that they will we be the first one to get it but if you go to Apple store on the same day in the afternoon or next day most likely you won't find that many people around. Same way when on Jan 4th PGP opened most of the application where received in the morning and after that there were few late comers lazy lads and Purolator screwed people... so that's the reason it took 4 days 4,5,6,7 Jan to reach to 14,000 apps but most of it maybe more than half was received on Jan 4th morning. So there is a reason to believe that 5k might have reached in couple of hours.

Yes.. I hoping that our application will be on 10K ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D Stay positive.. last 2015 PGP 5000 CAP reach till 2nd day AM.. 12NN..
 
tulipo4ka said:
That is not true. Everyone ON THIS FORUM is getting changed - that is a big difference! People that hang here have the information they need to complete their application and avoid mistakes - so no surprise everyone here getting charged. But we about 200 users here (maybe s little more - don't know the exact number). There are many other who do not know about the forum and their chances are not as good..


We still have a change.. just hold on and pray.. ;D ;D ;D
 
tulipo4ka said:
That is not true. Everyone ON THIS FORUM is getting changed - that is a big difference! People that hang here have the information they need to complete their application and avoid mistakes - so no surprise everyone here getting charged. But we about 200 users here (maybe s little more - don't know the exact number). There are many other who do not know about the forum and their chances are not as good..

Agree but rejection rate this year won't be that much like last 2 years... people know now how PGP works, what they need to apply and how can they avoid there previous mistakes.
 
Please donate to Rossi

PLEASE Donate to Rossei for his great effort on the spreadsheet file and his message.

5$-10$ (or even more) is much less than what you are now ready to pay to be in the final 5000. ;D

It can also bring some luck to your application :D

Donation link: https://www.gofundme.com/2016pgp
 
Hey Rossei, when I try to move the sample size to 2% in D1 of the projection, it says its a locked cell. Is that one supposed to be adjustable to see different scenarios?