sixth draw - FSW?

[Gustcan]

My score is 478 under FSW - can I expect an ITA in 6th draw?

 

[preeti.msingh109]

yes surely

 

[vik_m]

With the current rate of falling of CRS points, any possibility to drop till 300 CRS points, any guess?

 

[Confuzed]

From now on, whatever rate the score falls, will be way different from the rate it has been falling till now. The simple reason being that the scores between 350 to 480 will be scored my plenty of applicants who stand in the pool. In my opinion, the next few draws will see a dip of not more than 20 points per draw or even lesser.
So based on this, I guess the score might fall to 300 surely, but if I were you, I'd assume that will happen possibly 10-15 months from now. So I wont have too many hopes till say the next year or so. But thats simply because I am a bit of a pessimist. I wish you a good luck and lets hope it dips faster. I would advice you to improve your score a bit if its possible.

 

[vik_m]

From now on, whatever rate the score falls, will be way different from the rate it has been falling till now. The simple reason being that the scores between 350 to 480 will be scored my plenty of applicants who stand in the pool. In my opinion, the next few draws will see a dip of not more than 20 points per draw or even lesser.
So based on this, I guess the score might fall to 300 surely, but if I were you, I'd assume that will happen possibly 10-15 months from now. So I wont have too many hopes till say the next year or so. But thats simply because I am a bit of a pessimist. I wish you a good luck and lets hope it dips faster. I would advice you to improve your score a bit if its possible.

Actually I am considering dip of 30 points with each draw and with that it will come in next 5-6-7-8 draw max considering 2 draw every month, I hope...

 

[kateg]

With the current rate of falling of CRS points, any possibility to drop till 300 CRS points, any guess?

It's possible. Looking at the distribution, however, they would need to do a number of very large draws to get there any time soon. It was pretty much impossible to get a score of 601 - 730 points, so it will drop very quickly in those ranges. As soon as we get down into the 475 levels, there are a lot more people, so it will drop much slower.

At some point, they will reach an equilibrium, where the number of new EE profiles at a certain score is roughly equal to the number of ITAs. That's when the score will stop dropping. That's going to depend on the number of people who want to immigrate, and the number of LMIAs. If a bunch of people join each month, the score won't drop that much.

 

[tejas0607]

Hope to get 6th draw below 450 points

 

[vik_m]

It's possible. Looking at the distribution, however, they would need to do a number of very large draws to get there any time soon. It was pretty much impossible to get a score of 601 - 730 points, so it will drop very quickly in those ranges. As soon as we get down into the 475 levels, there are a lot more people, so it will drop much slower.

At some point, they will reach an equilibrium, where the number of new EE profiles at a certain score is roughly equal to the number of ITAs. That's when the score will stop dropping. That's going to depend on the number of people who want to immigrate, and the number of LMIAs. If a bunch of people join each month, the score won't drop that much.

I certainly agree that dip will be not to fast after it cross 475 or 450 but considering nos required (185k) I believe dip will not be less than 30 points and per draw application will be near to 3 to 5k...I hope it can reach to 300 in next 7-8-9-10 draw max...

 

[kryt0n]

I'm actually predicting the points will go up on the next draw to 700+ again to get the new applicants WITH an LMIA. Then down, then up again. LMIA apps will then always get priority.

 

[BeirutJoe]

stop being all negative,

next draw will be held on Friday 27 or Saturday 28 with an ITA approximate 2,000 and a CRS score in the range of 440-450
later on, April cut off score will be 420-390
in the end of the month of May people above 365 will get an ITA

PS. PREDICTION

 

[vik_m]

stop being all negative,

next draw will be held on Friday 27 or Saturday 28 with an ITA approximate 2,000 and a CRS score in the range of 440-450
later on, April cut off score will be 420-390
in the end of the month of May people above 365 will get an ITA

PS. PREDICTION

Agree...I think same as well..

 

[kryt0n]

Who knows with these people. Next score you might have to have been a camel in a former life to be approved

 

[kateg]

I'm actually predicting the points will go up on the next draw to 700+ again to get the new applicants WITH an LMIA. Then down, then up again. LMIA apps will then always get priority.

There isn't much need for that. They are included in all the future draws anyway. I think it'd be more likely to see a CEC draw at a lower score (since a CEC draw at a higher score would make no sense, and having the ability to do a CEC only draw makes no sense if it's not occasionally used).

 

[rafzy]

My score is 421 and im expecting fsw invite preety soon

 

[lineinfire]

My score is 421 and im expecting fsw invite preety soon

Good luck...we are sitting at 350+ and can't do nothing but pray.