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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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m.q.z90

Star Member
Jul 5, 2019
62
14
By looking at the Pool size right now.. If (In Sha Allah) there is a B2B draw on Wednesday 11th Nov, i think there is a chance of the score dropping to 470.. Given that all above 478 are gone, it leaves 2448 ppl from 471-478 range.. and if 2000 ppl enter the pool with scores above 471, a draw of 4500 can clear them all..
That's just my calculation.. I hope a B2B happens...
 
A

anakin23

Star Member
Oct 15, 2020
67
10
Carmen01 said:
Go ahead and study the French or enjoy your time in Canada earning a degree. It’s fine. You don’t have to keep dropping all over repeating the same facts even when people have politely told you that’s not how it works.
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first of all it is not people it is you who say it is not how it works. So tell me how does it work?
 
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Jeet221990

Star Member
Sep 19, 2019
158
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Passport Req..
08-06-2022
As per current pool data, out of 3700 ppl in 471-480, only 500 were there at 478-480. Means, the competition is really strong at early 470s
 
S

Scalphunter

Star Member
Jun 20, 2020
128
38
I was expecting the score to go up but 478 is okay. Hopefully this clears up all the French folks. They just need to keep doing FSW draws on a consistent basis and the score will come down. It's improbable for 4500 French speaking profiles to enter the pool every 2 weeks. plus, this draw had the double whammy of French score boost plus the Ontario nomination from yesterday.

I just realized that the tie breaker is now on Oct 26th. I submitted my profile on Oct 19th, so I'll get the invite the moment the cutoff hits 470 since my profile should clear the tie breaker. Am I correct in this assumption?
 
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axmac

Star Member
Nov 5, 2020
102
163
Scalphunter said:
I was expecting the score to go up but 478 is okay. Hopefully this clears up all the French folks. They just need to keep doing FSW draws on a consistent basis and the score will come down. It's improbable for 4500 French speaking profiles to enter the pool every 2 weeks. plus, this draw had the double whammy of French score boost plus the Ontario nomination from yesterday.

I just realized that the tie breaker is now on Oct 26th. I submitted my profile on Oct 19th, so I'll get the invite the moment the cutoff hits 470 since my profile should clear the tie breaker. Am I correct in this assumption?
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Wouldn't the cut-off date change with the score? Like they needed 4500 and they saw 478 as the ideal score for it and then October 26 was selected as a cut-off to select the 4500? I'd assume it would go further back if the score goes down.
 
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axmac

Star Member
Nov 5, 2020
102
163
474 here. Hoping there is a b2b next week. Fingers crossed. If not, I'd feel so bad for not trying an alternative to WES for my ECA. I lost 7 points because of my dual degree evaluation. I heard IQAS is a bit more lenient.
 
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S

Scalphunter

Star Member
Jun 20, 2020
128
38
axmac said:
Wouldn't the cut-off date change with the score? Like they needed 4500 and they saw 478 as the ideal score for it and then October 26 was selected as a cut-off to select the 4500? I'd assume it would go further back if the score goes down.
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I don't think they pick the ideal score or date. They know they want 4500 in the draw so the algorithm picks the 4500 highest scoring profile and the score of the last profile becomes the cutoff. So anyone with a score higher than last profile gets picked. I'm not sure how the tie breaker is calculated.

If they actually pick the cut off score, then everyone's at the mercy of the picker's whim.
 
Igethope

Igethope

Hero Member
Sep 17, 2019
376
404
The new draw brings the total number of ITAs issued in 2020 to 87,350, i wonder if they can still do 3/4 more draws with 4500 ITA this year again ? Can they really exceed 100k ITA ?
 
C

Carmen01

Hero Member
Oct 13, 2020
710
724
Igethope said:
The new draw brings the total number of ITAs issued in 2020 to 87,350, i wonder if they can still do 3/4 more draws with 4500 ITA this year again ? Can they really exceed 100k ITA ?
Click to expand...
But ITAs don’t equate PPRs and they don’t have that.
 
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