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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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Pyruvate1

Hero Member
Oct 24, 2018
279
232
Im also wondering how they will continue as we will reach 85000 ITAs after 3 draws. The increased ITAs in the last 2 draws shows a different trend though. Could they be thinking about sending almost 100k invites this year since the majority this year has gone to cec candidates most of whom are in canada already. We will find out at the end of October after the latest 3 year targets are announced
The truth is that its not ITA that is issued that is accepted. Some invitees reject ITA sometimes
 

Mandeep1989

Hero Member
Oct 23, 2017
639
148
Im also wondering how they will continue as we will reach 85000 ITAs after 3 draws. The increased ITAs in the last 2 draws shows a different trend though. Could they be thinking about sending almost 100k invites this year since the majority this year has gone to cec candidates most of whom are in canada already. We will find out at the end of October after the latest 3 year targets are announced
Yes , absolutely
 

Sensation80

Full Member
May 16, 2020
33
30
I would say 471
Once it gets into low 470s we dont usually get 3 point drops. Look at rounds in jan and feb this year.
Thats why someone like me who is on 468 needs consistent fsw draws to stand a chance.
Not discouraging anyone but thats how it is as many new applicants will enter 470s range
 

Mandeep1989

Hero Member
Oct 23, 2017
639
148
I would say 471
Once it gets into low 470s we dont usually get 3 point drops. Look at rounds in jan and feb this year.
Thats why someone like me who is on 468 needs consistent fsw draws to stand a chance.
Not discouraging anyone but thats how it is as many new applicants will enter 470s range
U cnt compare it to jan or feb . At the moment , ielts is not happening at the same pace as it was earlier . So, u cnt compare . There were around 1077 left over 471-480 range after the last draw , who obviously have 471 or 472 . Hence , it won’t be only 1 point drop , unless around 3000 people with 471+ score enter the pool before 30th , unlikely . Cut off would be 469, could be 468 , all depends on the number of people entering the pool
 

Mandeep1989

Hero Member
Oct 23, 2017
639
148
U cnt compare it to jan or feb . At the moment , ielts is not happening at the same pace as it was earlier . So, u cnt compare . There were around 1077 left over 471-480 range after the last draw , who obviously have 471 or 472 . Hence , it won’t be only 1 point drop , unless around 3000 people with 471+ score enter the pool before 30th , unlikely . Cut off would be 469, could be 468 , all depends on the number of people entering the pool
1077 , not a lot for 471-72, u can now make the prediction
 

omersalam

Member
Nov 14, 2019
10
13
I think ielts has resumed in most places around the world. Its not the same as before.
Ofcourse i want u to be right but such a drop is nlikely. Just my opinion.
We can average out your prediction along with mine and make it 470 :)
 

Mandeep1989

Hero Member
Oct 23, 2017
639
148
I think ielts has resumed in most places around the world. Its not the same as before.
Ofcourse i want u to be right but such a drop is nlikely. Just my opinion.
We can average out your prediction along with mine and make it 470 :)
Ielts not upto full capacity , before thousands were writing , now only 30 each test date in a city . If 4500 , then 468 , trust me
 
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Prats18790

Star Member
Jun 25, 2020
112
64
Im also wondering how they will continue as we will reach 85000 ITAs after 3 draws. The increased ITAs in the last 2 draws shows a different trend though. Could they be thinking about sending almost 100k invites this year since the majority this year has gone to cec candidates most of whom are in canada already. We will find out at the end of October after the latest 3 year targets are announced
How have they reached despite not having a fsw draws for 6 months? Surely they would have revised it right?
 
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