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Ray of Hope 67th Draw

andieangel

Champion Member
Feb 13, 2017
1,621
4,858
Croatia
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1311
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
Here is some analysis I have done. Would like to share it with everyone!
1. Assumption :-
a. Draw happens on 12th July
b. 3400 ITAs are issued


  • SLAB ~22nd June ~Daily Run Rate ~Pool 28th ~12th July (prediction)
>600 355 16 452 203
451-600 2216 101 2820 1,233
441-450 809 37 1030 1,471
431-440 1082 49 1377 1,967
421-430 1172 53 1492 2,131
411-420 1968 89 2505 3,578
401-410 4432 201 5641 8,058

~ had to color code, since I wasn't able to insert the excel / image

It should be 438+-2 points at most.

Really really need to pray that there are weekly draws and more ITA's. Thats the only way the CRS will drop, and the 431-440 band will clear up and move to 411-420 and so on to get the scores finally down to 400.
No way that there are 8T people in range of 401-410. No calculation in the world to back that up!
 

andieangel

Champion Member
Feb 13, 2017
1,621
4,858
Croatia
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1311
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
Here is some analysis I have done. Would like to share it with everyone!
1. Assumption :-
a. Draw happens on 12th July
b. 3400 ITAs are issued


  • SLAB ~22nd June ~Daily Run Rate ~Pool 28th ~12th July (prediction)
>600 355 16 452 203
451-600 2216 101 2820 1,233
441-450 809 37 1030 1,471
431-440 1082 49 1377 1,967
421-430 1172 53 1492 2,131
411-420 1968 89 2505 3,578
401-410 4432 201 5641 8,058

~ had to color code, since I wasn't able to insert the excel / image

It should be 438+-2 points at most.

Really really need to pray that there are weekly draws and more ITA's. Thats the only way the CRS will drop, and the 431-440 band will clear up and move to 411-420 and so on to get the scores finally down to 400.
No way that there are 8T people in range of 401-410. No calculation in the world to back that up!
 

SGtoCAD

Hero Member
Jan 27, 2017
425
455
Just a friendly reminder, there will always be someone that SEEMS like he/she is in a better position than you. But remember there will also be some others that SEEM like they are far off worse that you. Stop whining and start grinding people. We are in the 24hrs of the next possible draw. What are you gonna do?
 

Indi- canada

Hero Member
Nov 13, 2015
235
208
mumbai
Visa Office......
NDVO
Here is some analysis I have done. Would like to share it with everyone!
1. Assumption :-
a. Draw happens on 12th July
b. 3400 ITAs are issued


  • SLAB ~22nd June ~Daily Run Rate ~Pool 28th ~12th July (prediction)
>600 355 16 452 203
451-600 2216 101 2820 1,233
441-450 809 37 1030 1,471
431-440 1082 49 1377 1,967
421-430 1172 53 1492 2,131
411-420 1968 89 2505 3,578
401-410 4432 201 5641 8,058

~ had to color code, since I wasn't able to insert the excel / image

It should be 438+-2 points at most.

Really really need to pray that there are weekly draws and more ITA's. Thats the only way the CRS will drop, and the 431-440 band will clear up and move to 411-420 and so on to get the scores finally down to 400.
appreciate your efforts but there are errors in your calculations.
 

Sandeep198511

Hero Member
Apr 21, 2017
586
642
actually i noticed it after posting this,, however, dont worry buddy, we all are getting it within 1 or 2 months, i am at 405 got frustrated .5 band less in my 2nd attempt of IELTS
really ? pun intended again...;)..on serious note I hope that is the case, also got NOI will think on it after 2 months and looking at the situation then...but thank you for you kind words...:)
 
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ns25

Full Member
Feb 12, 2017
37
35
Hi Guys... does anyone know what could be the major reasons for denial of PR post-ITA? Want to be aware and play safely on those fronts.

Also, what could be the impact and solution if one of your past employers denies to issue a reference letter or gives it in a standard format which doesn't explain your role completely (means the NOC roles are not explicitly covered)... Please advise.
 

SGtoCAD

Hero Member
Jan 27, 2017
425
455
Hi Guys, I've submitted my wife's(Primary applicant) profile and we've got the confirmation that we're in the pool. We have been given 455 points based on our eligibility and we're hoping to get ITA in next draw. However there's a situation(A pleasant one :)), we're going to have a baby by Jan end. Question is what to do after we receive the ITA? Go ahead and upload all forms, except the medical(Coz we can't get xray done, or let CIC know that we want to wait until later? A little unsure of what to do. Ideally, we'd like to have our baby here and then in Q1/Q2 move to Canada. Thanks for your kind suggestions.
if your wife is pregnant, does it mean 1 PA and 1 dependent or 2 dependents?