tj4canada said:
The pool had to have added 3796 applicants over CRS 423 between last draw and this draw. All those scores were empty after the last draw, but filled to have ITAs given out in this draw.
I took that into account. Did you check the table in the image I had at the bottom of the last post?
It's easy to calculate how many applicants are added between to stats, taking into account the # of invites in between.
Candidates over 400 added between March 29th and April 13th: 4986
Candidates over 400 added between April 13th and April 28th: 2397
Number of candidates with CRS over 400: | |
March/29: | 12272 |
April 13: | 9582 |
April 28: | 8314 |
So it's definitely decreasing fast, even with three rounds over that period, and that's why I strongly believe that the score will go down to 400-ish over the next 3-4 rounds, after the effect of new University/Masters grads subsides.
Here are all my calculations again for reference:
imgur.com/a/SatZC