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Ray of hope 61st draw

omarkhan

Hero Member
Oct 12, 2016
564
63
Pakistan
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Islamabad
NOC Code......
4011
App. Filed.......
11-08-2017
AOR Received.
11-08-2017
Passport Req..
08/09/2017
I wonder if with 416 I stand any chance in the coming couple of draws. With the draw taking longer, I am getting pessimistic.
 

andieangel

Champion Member
Feb 13, 2017
1,621
4,858
Croatia
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1311
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
Aashy09 said:
Yeah but what about the june changes
As I mentioned yesterday on same question, changes in june wont have much of an inpact due to that and also as I read in 2016 report not many people speak french and also due to changes for siblings also believe that few people will get higer points but not enough to push crs cut off to go up.
 

gotodxb

Hero Member
Mar 16, 2017
327
172
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2171
Job Offer........
Yes
AOR Received.
30-08-2017
Passport Req..
29-09-2017
LANDED..........
25-10-2017
krishna1688 said:
EE Score 431 423 415
ITA 3753 3923 3665
5-Apr 12-Apr 19-Apr
1 601 1200 124 49 108 59
2 451 600 422 212 354 142
3 441 450 137 52 93 41
4 431 440 1927 86 136 50
5 421 430 2976 2973 115 -858
6 411 420 3119 3157 3165 8
7 401 410 3567 3610 3611 1
8 391 400 3274 3292 3249 -43
9 381 390 4008 4020 3992 -28
10 371 380 4340 4380 4393 13
11 361 370 4623 4603 4593 -10
12 351 360 4791 4823 4801 -22
13 301 350 15584 15608 15526 -82
14 0 300 2779 2789 2778 -11

51671 49654 48914 -740

The differecne between the rounds held on 12th April and 19 th april. negative shows the decrease and positive shows the increase in Nos
CRS distribution data..

https://ibb.co/dWzavk

there is possibility that April 13th data is not the true picture.. 2115 profiles in just two points.. i believe there will be much less profiles in that group..
If the draws are conducted in two week intervals with same # of ITA's, CRS will drop.. but if CIC increase draw interval or reduce ITA's , CRS will increase..
 

Aashy09

Hero Member
Oct 13, 2016
518
86
Category........
PNP
Nomination.....
29/06/2017
AOR Received.
25/07/2017
andieangel said:
As I mentioned yesterday on same question, changes in june wont have much of an inpact due to that and also as I read in 2016 report not many people speak french and also due to changes for siblings also believe that few people will get higer points but not enough to push crs cut off to go up.
That's great. Lets hope for the best. *fingers crossed*
 

karenn1617

Hero Member
May 29, 2015
594
41
Visa Office......
NDVO
NOC Code......
1123
nanning said:
Please share your insights.
I have 384 now. Do you still believe we can see 380+ cutoff in June?
I think that for coming to 384, CIC will take at least second half of June or early July but it will definitely come.
 

fatani

Hero Member
Nov 15, 2015
689
222
Northstar88 said:
2016 report is out
Yes and there are some positives as well as some negatives some positives are that IRCC mentioned about why the draw size went low last year because they were processing applications that were pre EE and now the roumds will be more consistent that we are seeing. and by the looks f it 3500-4000 ITAs will be norm now. And IRCC sees that most of the candidates in that have come in first 2 yrs have been living in canada and only 15-20% outsiders came which they want to increase. Average score of utsider without canadian connection is 380 and insider is 420 so we can hope for scores going down more.

The other positive is there are only 1.3% francophones in the pool and with french there avg scores are 350 so june 9 changes will not affect that much. one negative is that IRCC mentiones that they can reduce the number of itas to mantain their promise of 80% apps processing within 6 months
 

readitall

Newbie
Apr 27, 2017
3
1
With 406 as CRS score, what chances I have in the month of May? Once I get an ITA(by God's grace), does it take 6months? What is the least amount of time one had to wait after ITA.

Sorry for posing too many questions. :)
 

BillHyatt

Champion Member
Apr 13, 2017
1,737
2,036
Toronto
After looking into recent changes I am having a feeling that CIC is trying to standardise its Scores like Australia and NZ Immigration. Maybe they will fix it somewhere near 400, and then allow applicants various options to increase their score and get selected.

According to my calculations if the next draw is going to be held on 3rd May then I think they will clear all applicants in 411-420 scale. So at the moment my guess is 409 +/-2 for the next draw only if it's on 3rd May.