Ray of hope 61st draw

[rthoguluva]

The CIC website is giving the pool data till April 13 only. Since then, tons of new profiles have been entered considering the fact the cut-off has gone as down to 415.
I believe the actual picture of the 401-450 range will be not just 9k but 15k by now..which means each individual 10 points slab is having around 3k candidates. The lower the slab the dense the population.
Although I sincerely want the cut-off to go 410 or lower, I have my doubts that it could go up 423 or more as well.

You're right, Pal! It is not only newly created Profile. They will resubmit Expired/Rejected/Clarification profiles to CIC also. Let us wait and see! We will come to know in another 2 days mate 8)

 

[fahadsheikh]

The CIC website is giving the pool data till April 13 only. Since then, tons of new profiles have been entered considering the fact the cut-off has gone as down to 415.
I believe the actual picture of the 401-450 range will be not just 9k but 15k by now..which means each individual 10 points slab is having around 3k candidates. The lower the slab the dense the population.
Although I sincerely want the cut-off to go 410 or lower, I have my doubts that it could go up 423 or more as well.

Remember that most of those 9K which were above 415 have already received the ITA in April 19th Draw

 

[fahadsheikh]

Secondly, People! 2 weeks is usual time. The draw is not delayed, it will be on time if happens tomorrow. So hold up your horses and think positive.

 

[qgon123]

Secondly, People! 2 weeks is usual time. The draw is not delayed, it will be on time if happens tomorrow. So hold up your horses and think positive.

Very true. Although I've applied for the remarking of my IELTS result in the hope of 0.5 increase in Speaking to get CLB 9 and unable to enter in the pool with current crs (395), but I am still hopeful that the score will come down to 395 in the next 3 to 4 draws, and I will get ITA without retaking IELTS if remarking comes unsuccessful.

 

[Einstien]

Hi Guys!

What chance do I stand in tomorrow's draw (expected) with 418 CRS. My wife's ECA (Masters in English literature) and IELTS results yet to be added, if it comes out as expected I would be claiming 441. ??? ???

 

[fahadsheikh]

Hi Guys!

What chance do I stand in tomorrow's draw (expected) with 418 CRS. My wife's ECA (Masters in English literature) and IELTS results yet to be added, if it comes out as expected I would be claiming 441. ??? ???

You are through at 418 expectedly.

 

[qgon123]

Hi Guys!

What chance do I stand in tomorrow's draw (expected) with 418 CRS. My wife's ECA (Masters in English literature) and IELTS results yet to be added, if it comes out as expected I would be claiming 441. ??? ???

Don't worry, you'll make it tomorrow.

 

[onkarsharan]

I did think of this situation earlier and comes to few of the conclusions -

1. There are less number of people in the system who had applied for (and through) French test as one of the language as compared to that of English.
2. Siblings point - Adding this also as an add-on points. This will be because of seeing the trends from all these years since the paper-back system was in operation. Well if on counting over Sibling points, then I believe there will be one in ever 20 or 30 candidates be having their sibling in Canada. Remember, the sibling we are talking about is the blood relations and not uncle aunt son or daughter.

Also, there are high chances that the cut-off will touch around 395 by May itself if there will be three draws at least.

All The Best Guys.

What makes you think that there will be minimum 3 draws in the month of May ?

 

[fahadsheikh]

What makes you think that there will be minimum 3 draws in the month of May ?

I believe it's simple math. May has 5 Wednesdays, A draw on every second Wednesday sums up into 3 draws in the month of May or we may see an early draw even in this month shedding the cutoff score even further.

 

[onkarsharan]

I'm also on 410. But I don't know why I'm not having positive vibes becuase its been 2 weeks since last draw and there would be many new profiles in the system and crosing 415 doesn't seem to be challenging.

Be glad if the draw comes tomorrow. Else with the way, the draws came in February 7/Feb 22/March 1-- the next draw came 24 days later with CRS of +7 (increased to 441 from 434).

I just hope that draw doesn't come on 17th May directly with the same trend. That will see an increase in crs of +10-15 minimum.

Just an observation.

 

[Wandering Mind]

Thanks, At 403 you will be good in next or the one after so, congratulations on your PR

Thank you for your optimism

 

[kushagra452]

Made a new EE profile today. Score is 454. Let's hope for the best!

 

[onkarsharan]

I believe it's simple math. May has 5 Wednesdays, A draw on every second Wednesday sums up into 3 draws in the month of May or we may see an early draw even in this month shedding the cutoff score even further.

I noticed it, but in this case: March 2017 was an exception. CRS draw was conducted on 1st March (Wed) and 24th March (Friday) with 5 Wednesdays in Calendar.
Let's hope that it might have happened due to March being the financial year closure.

 

[Wandering Mind]

Try to improve your score as much as you can, any score below 420 is not safe before June.

My scores can't be improved further - I've a Masters degree and CLB10 in IELTS. The low score is because of my age.

 

[xibalban]

My scores can't be improved further - I've a Masters degree and CLB10 in IELTS. The low score is because of my age.

Canada is No Country for Old Men (www.imdb.com/title/tt0477348/)