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RAY of HOPE 55th Draw (Predictions)

S

sutyfornow

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DiNaV said:
NO mate. I have already send my courier to FBI. I just wanted to know if someone out here was in same situation as me i.e. Expecting ITA in next week and still not got FBI PCC in hand.
Mind my ignorance, what is FBI Pcc?
 

DiNaV

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sutyfornow said:
Mind my ignorance, what is FBI Pcc?
Police Clearance Certificate from USA.

If you have stayed in that country for more than 6 months in last 10 years...need to get it from there.
 

patN

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Manylivesmanymasters said:
If the current trend continues you might get it before the year end.
If not, if OINP opens with the eligibility criteria like last year you should get it
People here are expecting that 400+ would be cleared by EE and 350+ or 375+ would be done through OINP
Thanks a lot for the reply buddy!!

Well, if OINP starts taking new candidates from March then till 2017 end the CRS should reach 400 for sure. :)
 

patN

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Is there any rule that a candidate opting for OINP has to stay in Ontario for 2-3 years before migrating?
 

resu

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To my seniors,

If express entry cutoff goes to 438 in subsequent draws and someone gets a ONIP nomination prior to that or after that.. how would the process go?
 

johnsyk

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It is safe to say that the the impact OINP on the overall scores will take a little time. Just because they give you an NOI doesnt mean you will get nominated straight away. Last year they took between 8 and 12 months to nominate people and for them to get 600 points. SInce this year, the application to OINP is online, I would think that it will still take around 3 months for the first batch of PNP to be released.

Hence I see no way that scores will get impacted till May or June. The million dollar questions is how they are goint to give NOI. Last year, everyone above 400 was given an NOI and they were flooded with applications and hence took a long time to give out nominations. This year scores are falling so will they still stick to 400? We dont know now.

This year they said they will give NOI and they also said they will do this in batches. So we have no idea till the 21st Feb update on what exactly they are going to do. We can only hope for the best!
 

johnsyk

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resu said:
To my seniors,

If express entry cutoff goes to 438 in subsequent draws and someone gets a ONIP nomination prior to that or after that.. how would the process go?
You are free to take the ITA and ignore the PNP. You can write to them and withdraw it. No problem. Of course, you will lose the 1500 CAD. :-\
 
S

sutyfornow

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johnsyk said:
It is safe to say that the the impact OINP on the overall scores will take a little time. Just because they give you an NOI doesnt mean you will get nominated straight away. Last year they took between 8 and 12 months to nominate people and for them to get 600 points. SInce this year, the application to OINP is online, I would think that it will still take around 3 months for the first batch of PNP to be released.

Hence I see no way that scores will get impacted till May or June. The million dollar questions is how they are goint to give NOI. Last year, everyone above 400 was given an NOI and they were flooded with applications and hence took a long time to give out nominations. This year scores are falling so will they still stick to 400? We dont know now.

This year they said they will give NOI and they also said they will do this in batches. So we have no idea till the 21st Feb update on what exactly they are going to do. We can only hope for the best!
There is something confusing me.. oinp quota is 6000 and how will they take all those who score 400 and above if the number of people from 400 is more than 6000? Do they select specific people ?
 

resu

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johnsyk said:
You are free to take the ITA and ignore the PNP. You can write to them and withdraw it. No problem. Of course, you will lose the 1500 CAD. :-\
By withdrawing I will still have 1500 CAD in my bank account. right?
 

johnsyk

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sutyfornow said:
There is something confusing me.. oinp quota is 6000 and how will they take all those who score 400 and above if the number of people from 400 is more than 6000? Do they select specific people ?
Good question. The answer to that is not clear. Last year, they send an NOI to EVERYONe above 400. Must be atleast 15,000 people. Of course some did not get it since it was an unintended technical glitch. The ones who found out that there was a glitch re-made their profile and they got it too. So it was intended for everyone. Their quota was only 5500 last year. However please keep in mind in the end, many wont take up the OINP offer. For example, people close to the cut off will ignore since OINP costs an additional 1500 CAD. Then there will be duplicate profiles. Then people with bad paper work that gets rejected etc. We also know that they did process a few of last years applicants in this years quota. So we dont know the exact numbers but I am sure they will have 6000 to play with since they do a carry forward system.
 

johnsyk

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resu said:
By withdrawing I will still have 1500 CAD in my bank account. right?
You need to Pay 1500 CAD by CC for you to apply for OINP. Its not free.
 

resu

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johnsyk said:
You need to Pay 1500 CAD by CC for you to apply for OINP. Its not free.
Thanks for the information. So I should wait for EE draws rather than ONIP at 438 points?
 

SGtoCAD

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resu said:
By withdrawing I will still have 1500 CAD in my bank account. right?
No. If you decide to proceed with ITA beforw they issue u an nomination, the CAD1500 will not be refunded. Only in the event where application is not complete and they return your documents to you if i am not wrong.
 

johnsyk

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So lets say you are on 436 and next week ONIP gives you an NOI. If you want to get nominated, you need to APPLY ONLINE with all your relevant paper work AND pay 1500 CAD as well. Then if the cut off on its own goes down to 436 in a months time, then you get an ITA. Then it doesnt make sense to wait for OINP. So then you accept the ITA and go for the normal post ITA process and then you send an email to OINP saying you are not interested anymore since you would rather just do the ITA now since its quicker. In the bargain, OINP has made their 1500 CAD which they wont give you back and they still have their quota! Kaching! :)