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RAY of HOPE 55th Draw (Predictions)

johnsyk

Champion Member
Sep 24, 2016
1,190
934
NOC Code......
1121
App. Filed.......
10-4-2017
AOR Received.
10-4-2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
8-4-2017
resu said:
Thanks for the information. So I should wait for EE draws rather than ONIP at 438 points?
And thats your decision. And that depends on you. You could wait and maybe take a risk. You may never get ITA if scores dont go down for some reason or ahead and risk 1500 CAD. No one knows that answer. :)
in 2016 many with 447 did not take up OINP thinking scores will come down since it had come down to 450 and they NEVER got their ITA for a long time. So only you can decide that! :)
 

pacificislander

Hero Member
Jan 7, 2017
353
22
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
johnsyk said:
So lets say you are on 436 and next week ONIP gives you an NOI. If you want to get nominated, you need to APPLY ONLINE with all your relevant paper work AND pay 1500 CAD as well. Then if the cut off on its own goes down to 436 in a months time, then you get an ITA. Then it doesnt make sense to wait for OINP. So then you accept the ITA and go for the normal post ITA process and then you send an email to OINP saying you are not interested anymore since you would rather just do the ITA now since its quicker. In the bargain, OINP has made their 1500 CAD which they wont give you back and they still have their quota! Kaching! :)
I was thinking the same thing. That's why I am a bit reluctant about participating in any PNPs. I am not sure if they are worth it
 

jackdawn

Champion Member
Dec 24, 2016
1,295
920
thejkhan said:
I don't think the cut-off is going to stabilize to a particular score (450 or whatever). Stabilizing around a range sounds more realistic.

I predict it's going to follow a seasonal pattern - go down until quarter X of a particular year, then go up till quarter Y of same/next year. But the PNP programs can influence this pattern in unpredictable ways.

oopnp.com is bullshit. "it is believed that the Ontario PNP cut-off will go lower than 400 or will remain at 400" -- no $hit genius, it's either this or that!!
Its a ghost site with no details of promoters. Should ignore it. Moreover they pick up info from this forum and predict their scores
 

johnsyk

Champion Member
Sep 24, 2016
1,190
934
NOC Code......
1121
App. Filed.......
10-4-2017
AOR Received.
10-4-2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
8-4-2017
pacificislander said:
I was thinking the same thing. That's why I am a bit reluctant about participating in any PNPs. I am not sure if they are worth it
It depends on your score. ANyone between 400 and 425, I think its a no brainer. Go for OINP. The rest of them, its touch and go. We will never know since scores are falling. But again, remember scores will not keep falling for ever. By June there will be people with additional 600 points from the PNPs and scores Will start going up again!
 

resu

Hero Member
Oct 10, 2016
361
44
Toronto, Canada
NOC Code......
2171
App. Filed.......
15 - 02 - 2017
johnsyk said:
And thats your decision. And that depends on you. You could wait and maybe take a risk. You may never get ITA if scores dont go down for some reason or ahead and risk 1500 CAD. No one knows that answer. :)
in 2016 many with 447 did not take up OINP thinking scores will come down since it had come down to 450 and they NEVER got their ITA for a long time. So only you can decide that! :)
I think I can take the risk till April. How much time do we have to accept a PNP?
 

pacificislander

Hero Member
Jan 7, 2017
353
22
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
johnsyk said:
It depends on your score. ANyone between 400 and 425, I think its a no brainer. Go for OINP. The rest of them, its touch and go. We will never know since scores are falling. But again, remember scores will not keep falling for ever. By June there will be people with additional 600 points from the PNPs and scores Will start going up again!
My score is 430. And i can't participate in OINP because of my education. I tried looking for other PNP but they are not suggesting a favorable outcome.
 

johnsyk

Champion Member
Sep 24, 2016
1,190
934
NOC Code......
1121
App. Filed.......
10-4-2017
AOR Received.
10-4-2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
8-4-2017
resu said:
I think I can take the risk till April. How much time do we have to accept a PNP?
Last year they gave 45 days time. But last year was paper based so people had to mail in. This year its online, so its VERY UNLIKELY they will keep 45 days. Why do people need 45 days to upload stuff they already have? You dont need PCC, you dont need medical. All you need is basic documents like WES, IELTS, reference letters etc which everyone already has.
 

johnsyk

Champion Member
Sep 24, 2016
1,190
934
NOC Code......
1121
App. Filed.......
10-4-2017
AOR Received.
10-4-2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
8-4-2017
I really hope they give 45 days time though. It will make life very easy for all of us since then we will have 3 draws to decide if we should go for it or no!
 

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
I am at 434 and will still go for OINP. Better safe than sorry. It is about C$ 1500 and i am ready for a game.

Those who were on 449 in 2015....knows the real pain, if they didnt go for the OINP in 2015 till mid feb 2016. ;D
 

hopesarehigh

Star Member
Nov 8, 2016
142
1
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
If oinp human capital stream opens by end of feb and suppose this time they r super fast in processing time just like express entry system should we be worried about ee score shooting up again? Of course i know they need to shell out itas in 2500 range atleast to meet 2017 target for ee. But just being curious and a little bit worried. OINP news was supposed to be a happy one as i am at 428 but with the current trend i will be so glad to save some money and get through with express entry. I am sure many in 420-447 range will have my same concern. Please shed light seniors
 

min1

Star Member
Oct 21, 2016
94
2
i am working i niche technology with good scope in ontario ..is there a possibility to get job through express entry .i have problems with ref letter since i was in public service not a company i have work exp,bank account offer letter etc.but i have heard ontario is too strict with offer letters.so i am hoping if it is possible to find a job and then apply even if it is not lMA job.will that give an assurance on selection in ontario? .can i wait for 2-3 months and then apply will it be open by may
 

Manylivesmanymasters

Hero Member
Jan 25, 2017
205
5
Chennnai
NOC Code......
2171
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
17-01-17
pacificislander said:
My score is 430. And i can't participate in OINP because of my education. I tried looking for other PNP but they are not suggesting a favorable outcome.
Another 430 here. What is the educational constraints for OINP. I thought there was none for the human capital stream. Are there any other similar restrictions.
 

vipern

Member
Feb 17, 2017
15
0
Guys I'm sitting at 438 points now. Pardon me I'm new here.

What's the probability of getting an ITA, as of time of writing?
 

gurik

Champion Member
Apr 29, 2016
1,229
1,312
Category........
Other
OINP was supposed to be a good news few months back, but now its scaring me, my CRS is 446 and m too scared to miss by 1 point, though everyone is talking about OINP affecting draws in late march or April, I have this doubt also that maybe the CIC restricts the intake beforehand only i.e on 22nd feb draw and onwards in order to balance out the files in future..... anybody who got my concern,,please help me negate this negative thought ???

though i will be eligible for OINP but this close to direct ITA who wants this PNP hassle....
someone with some insight?
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
Let's be realistic, any new oinp applicant will not affect the draw before at least 3 months.