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Ray of Hope - *48th Draw*

Alexios07

Champion Member
Jun 22, 2015
1,002
136
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Calgary2014 said:
Try CELPIP, that's much easier. I'm sure you can get CLB 10 on listening. I don't like the CELPIP speaking test though
I had tried CELPIP as well, twice actually, got maximum for reading and listening (12), CLB 9 for writing (10) but they gave me clb 8 for speaking.
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Pippin said:
My guess is 30th November for a few reasons. 1) Usual pattern is every two weeks; 2) more importantly, they probably want to allow enough time for people to update their profiles and work out the glitches. Three or four days would be rushed.
1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.
 

Pippin

VIP Member
Mar 22, 2010
4,254
530
astralsource said:
1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.
Your draw timing would be a nice Christmas present for a lot of people. Hope you are right.
 

Alexios07

Champion Member
Jun 22, 2015
1,002
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Pippin said:
Your draw timing would be a nice Christmas present for a lot of people. Hope you are right.
I, for one, don't want to receive an ITA right before Christmas because it means IRCC and many government places will not be working to process our request and issue documents = time wasted.
 

sandymarcus

Star Member
Nov 19, 2016
52
7
32
Canada
Category........
CEC
I am with a score of 467. ( if 15 points shows up for my studies, I am 482).
I am expecting a draw on December 6th to 9th
and Between December 16th to 22nd.

That most likely to happen.
 

thestunner316

Champion Member
Feb 6, 2016
2,251
301
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actually yeah, with the bugs in the system i dont think there will be a draw this week... but i'm expecting 3 draws before the end of the year.

30th nov, 7th and 21st december... thats what the crystal ball says...
 

johnsyk

Champion Member
Sep 24, 2016
1,190
934
NOC Code......
1121
App. Filed.......
10-4-2017
AOR Received.
10-4-2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
8-4-2017
thestunner316 said:
actually yeah, with the bugs in the system i dont think there will be a draw this week... but i'm expecting 3 draws before the end of the year.

30th nov, 7th and 21st december... thats what the crystal ball says...

And does the crystal ball have anything to say about the upcoming scores for 30th, 7th and 21st? ;D
 

Wolverine17

VIP Member
Mar 28, 2016
3,135
351
astralsource said:
1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.
Are you sure about that there wont be a draw on 28-12
 

kkannan1989

Newbie
Oct 13, 2016
3
0
I just want to make a rough analysis here... Lets assume during this transition there are 3 categories of Profile : Category A - those with LMIA having their points drop from 600 to 50 or 200 , Category B - Those without LMIA getting additional points 50 or 200 points, Category C - those having canadian study factor , getting 15 to 30 points .

Since we are assuming lots of profiles falling in category A , reducing 400-550 points drastically puts them at their worst out of contention , or at their best still competing with CRS scores of 450 and above .
As for profiles in B category only the profiles previously around 420's and above will stand to benefit from this as most of them will only gain 50 points (not considering too many in NOC 00 category getting 200 points , which i presume will be subject to lot of paper work and scrutiny)
For those in C category will be mostly benefitted if they were previously hovering around mid 440's or above by gaining advantage of those 15-30 points .

My question is approximately... How many of them fall in each of the categories(purely made up by me for the sake of understandign , No such categories exist) i had listed above ... This will help us to guage the situation of the pool better !!
 

thestunner316

Champion Member
Feb 6, 2016
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kkannan1989 said:
I just want to make a rough analysis here... Lets assume during this transition there are 3 categories of Profile : Category A - those with LMIA having their points drop from 600 to 50 or 200 , Category B - Those without LMIA getting additional points 50 or 200 points, Category C - those having canadian study factor , getting 15 to 30 points .

Since we are assuming lots of profiles falling in category A , reducing 400-550 points drastically puts them at their worst out of contention , or at their best still competing with CRS scores of 450 and above .
As for profiles in B category only the profiles previously around 420's and above will stand to benefit from this as most of them will only gain 50 points (not considering too many in NOC 00 category getting 200 points , which i presume will be subject to lot of paper work and scrutiny)
For those in C category will be mostly benefitted if they were previously hovering around mid 440's or above by gaining advantage of those 15-30 points .

My question is approximately... How many of them fall in each of the categories(purely made up by me for the sake of understandign , No such categories exist) i had listed above ... This will help us to guage the situation of the pool better !!
that looks like work for alexios... he has been the best by far when it comes to analysis on this platform...
 

motocheck

Star Member
Jul 30, 2015
113
2
Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..
 

kryt0n

VIP Member
Sep 30, 2014
5,422
274
NOC Code......
2172
AOR Received.
16-03-2017
Passport Req..
11-07-2017
motocheck said:
Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..
Maybe. None of us know for sure. As there's recently been changes we might see a point fluctuation for a few months before *hopefully* dropping. None of us have any idea how it will go.
 

sunchaser

Star Member
Aug 4, 2016
177
10
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NOC Code......
1122
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motocheck said:
Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..
I would say above 450 is a safe bet. Even if OINP increases cut-off (PT notification criteria are not out yet), you would get PT notification. I am at 453, hoping for the PT notification soon, and ITA in next 6-7 draws. Let's hope for the best.