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Ray of Hope - *48th Draw*

thestunner316

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sunchaser said:
I would say above 450 is a safe bet. Even if OINP increases cut-off (PT notification criteria are not out yet), you would get PT notification. I am at 453, hoping for the PT notification soon, and ITA in next 6-7 draws. Let's hope for the best.
yeah i agree with you, anything over 450 you should be safe regardless...

man i hate OINP, just hate it... urghhh....
 

astralsource

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Wolverine17 said:
Are you sure about that there wont be a draw on 28-12
Yeah, look at the past year December draws, same situation.

#24 – January 6, 2016
#23 – December 18, 2015
#22 – December 4, 2015
#21 – November 27, 2015
 

kryt0n

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astralsource said:
Yeah, look at the past year December draws, same situation.


#24 – January 6, 2016
#23 – December 18, 2015
#22 – December 4, 2015
#21 – November 27, 2015
My language results won't be back by mid December... Was hoping for a post-christmas present of ITA! Guess it'll be a new year gift now :D
 

astralsource

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kryt0n said:
My language results won't be back by mid December... Was hoping for a post-christmas present of ITA! Guess it'll be a new year gift now :D
A fresh start some would say :D
 

kryt0n

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astralsource said:
A fresh start some would say :D
I'll have to save some fireworks!

(You know, the only job I'm struggling to get a letter from at the moment is from my Government position. Blood out of a stone!!! And these people run the country ??? )
 

motocheck

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Jul 30, 2015
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sun chaser why are you opting for OINP.. it takes 5-6 months more and there is a huge cost. and if we take OINP we would be restricted to only Ontario. don't u think we should opt for ITA..i read lot of posts and most of them are of view 450 cut off should come by jan - feb 2017..hope we all get ITA soon.. God bless all of us
 

fatani

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thestunner316 said:
yeah. 90% sure... its christmas week there - they wont even bother with a draw.
In this year jan they have done a draw on 6th jan. So there is a chance for 5th jan draw. If they do one on 21st dec.

My prediction of draws

30th november
7 december
21 december
5th jan (can happen)
 

astralsource

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motocheck said:
sun chaser why are you opting for OINP.. it takes 5-6 months more and there is a huge cost. and if we take OINP we would be restricted to only Ontario. don't u think we should opt for ITA..i read lot of posts and most of them are of view 450 cut off should come by jan - feb 2017..hope we all get ITA soon.. God bless all of us
God is always with good people :)

kryt0n said:
I'll have to save some fireworks!

(You know, the only job I'm struggling to get a letter from at the moment is from my Government position. Blood out of a stone!!! And these people run the country ??? )
Yes, they do, and that's why you are leaving!

http://giphy.com/gifs/disney-sloth-sloths-zootopia-1xkMJIvxeKiDS
 

thestunner316

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kryt0n said:
I'll have to save some fireworks!

(You know, the only job I'm struggling to get a letter from at the moment is from my Government position. Blood out of a stone!!! And these people run the country ??? )
hahahaha... do you sit on the forum all day and night ? i mean you had like the same number of posts as me only a few weeks back... :p
 

fatani

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johnsyk said:
And does the crystal ball have anything to say about the upcoming scores for 30th, 7th and 21st? ;D
My prediction is that with 470 now cleared in the last draw. And assuming the next draw is on 30th nov. And we saw lots of people talking about that OINP has not nominating in bulk and with LMIAs points come down to 50.

So if we suppose that there are 500 applicants who will get Nominations before the next draw. So their scores will go above 600. And as I have seen there are 100-200 intl students reported in this forum that our scores have gone above 470 so lets multiply it by 5 that overall there will be 1000-1200 intl students, and job offers including LMIAs and other WP who are on or above 470.

So if we consider that there are around 2000 applicants that are on or above 470 on 30th nov. And if ITAs are still at the level of 2400-2500 we can still see score dropping by 1-2 points on 30th nov. If the draw happens. That is my analysis.
 

kryt0n

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astralsource said:
God is always with good people :)

Yes, they do, and that's why you are leaving!

http://giphy.com/gifs/disney-sloth-sloths-zootopia-1xkMJIvxeKiDS

YESSS!!!!!! :D :D
 

johnsyk

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fatani said:
My prediction is that with 470 now cleared in the last draw. And assuming the next draw is on 30th nov. And we saw lots of people talking about that OINP has not nominating in bulk and with LMIAs points come down to 50.

So if we suppose that there are 500 applicants who will get Nominations before the next draw. So their scores will go above 600. And as I have seen there are 100-200 intl students reported in this forum that our scores have gone above 470 so lets multiply it by 5 that overall there will be 1000-1200 intl students, and job offers including LMIAs and other WP who are on or above 470.

So if we consider that there are around 2000 applicants that are on or above 470 on 30th nov. And if ITAs are still at the level of 2400-2500 we can still see score dropping by 1-2 points on 30th nov. If the draw happens. That is my analysis.

Alright! Lets see if u get it right Fatani! ;D
 

thestunner316

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fatani said:
My prediction is that with 470 now cleared in the last draw. And assuming the next draw is on 30th nov. And we saw lots of people talking about that OINP has not nominating in bulk and with LMIAs points come down to 50.

So if we suppose that there are 500 applicants who will get Nominations before the next draw. So their scores will go above 600. And as I have seen there are 100-200 intl students reported in this forum that our scores have gone above 470 so lets multiply it by 5 that overall there will be 1000-1200 intl students, and job offers including LMIAs and other WP who are on or above 470.

So if we consider that there are around 2000 applicants that are on or above 470 on 30th nov. And if ITAs are still at the level of 2400-2500 we can still see score dropping by 1-2 points on 30th nov. If the draw happens. That is my analysis.
:) you got the last draw scores wrong mate.... hope you are right this time lol

but TBH its literally impossible to predict whats going to happen in the next draw... quoting one of my favourite lines - "Theres just too many variables in this equation"
 

johnsyk

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thestunner316 said:
:) you got the last draw scores wrong mate.... hope you are right this time lol

but TBH its literally impossible to predict whats going to happen in the next draw... quoting one of my favourite lines - "Theres just too many variables in this equation"

I agree.

We dont know for sure when the next draw will be. Is it on 23rd or 30th.
We dont know how many PNPs have been given away.
We dont know for sure how many students have benefited from the additional 30 points.
We dont know the exact impact of LIMA point reduction.
We dont know if they will continue giving away 2500 ITAs per draw.

January 2017, I think we will all be in a reasonable position to bring out the hamster, Tarot Cards and Crystal Ball.
 

kryt0n

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johnsyk said:
I agree.

We dont know for sure when the next draw will be. Is it on 23rd or 30th.
We dont know how many PNPs have been given away.
We dont know for sure how many students have benefited from the additional 30 points.
We dont know the exact impact of LIMA point reduction.
We dont know if they will continue giving away 2500 ITAs per draw.

January 2017, I think we will all be in a reasonable position to bring out the hamster, Tarot Cards and Crystal Ball.
The hamster is primed and ready. Getting his nails clipped later!