Already closed. I was astonished at the provocative and biased analysis and the people endorsing it. This platform is very helpful and informative for people aspiring for canada. This shouldnt be turned into facebook and other dirt slinging social media platforms. Thanks
Ray of Hope - 130th Draw
- Thread starter 13nitinsharma
- Start date
Exactly! Got me thinking. Perhaps, we have alot of people right on the 475 score that may have registered after the 29th August tie breaker date. My hypothesis is that tie breaker date would have been September or early October if there weren't much people on that score. Just a hunch though
You get around 5 point less for each year after 29. You lose about 20 point because of your age. see the chart.I have a question. Does NOC matter for CRS score? I mean I have a master's degree from a recognized university and 4 years of full time work experience, and I am currently a PhD student at Canadian University. And my score is 459, how are you guys getting such high scores? I mean now I am wondering wether I made mistakes when filling out the application, or is it okay that I have 459? Also I am 33 years old
- 20 to 29 years old - 110 points
- 30 years old - 105 points
- 31 years old - 99 points
- 32 years old - 94 points
- 33 years old - 88 points
The last FSW draw was 464 and tie breaker rule was September thereabout. So, how come we have 475 August 29th still in the pool. Are they PNPs? Someone pls explain
Dear @Tousif_27 and @haider_Ali , below is my estimation calculation of CRS cut off for 13th Nov draw:
After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)
441-450= 8,739
Note: As cut off was 464, it means that the 6,810 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-464 only. Let's assume that 6,810 are distributed equally to 451-464 score range. Thus, it makes 6,810/14= 486 profiles per score.
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833
It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)
451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)
441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2019:
601-1,200= 1,255
451-600=12,999
441-450= 9,045
It means in 14 days from Oct 11nd to Oct 25th, there where:
601-1,200 = 53 profile/day (1,255-509=746/14days)
451-600 = 241prof/day (12,999-9,632= 3,367/14days)
441-450 = 15 prof/day(9,045-8,833= 212/14days)
For the range 451-600,let's take the middle number between 314 and 241(278) as the number of people/day who enter the EE pool.
So, by 30th October, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=1,520(1,255+265(53x5days)
451-600=14,389(12,999+1,390(278x5d)
441-450= 9,120(9,045+75(15x5days))
Suppose that from the newly added 7,579(2,822+3,367+1,390) profile from 2nd Oct to 30th Oct, 50% of it (3697) will be distributed equally to (471-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,789/10=344profile/score and the other half will be distributed equally to 451-470.Thus,it will make 3,789/20=189profile/score.
With 3,900 ITAs the cut off 475
3,900 minus:
-1,520(601-1200)
-344 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-344 (of 480 newly added score)
-344 (of 479 newly added score)
-344 (of 478 newly added score)
-344 (of 477 newly added score)
-344 (of 476 newly added score)
-316(of 344 of 475 newly added score)
After 30th October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and the cut off 475, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -1,520)
451-600 =12,009(14,389-2,380)
441-450= 9,120
Note: As cut off was 475, it means that the 12,009 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-475 only.
475 score = 28
471-474= 344people/score
465-470=189people/score
451-464= 675(486+189)people/score
For the range 451-600,let's assume that the number of people/day who enter the EE pool will reduce further to 241people/day.
So, by 13th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=742(53x14days)
451-600=15,383(12,009+3,374(241x14d)
441-450= 9,330(9,120+210(15x14days))
Suppose that from the newly added 3,374 profile from 30th Oct to 13th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,374/31=109profile/score
With 3,900 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 469-471
3,900 minus:
-742(601-1200)
-109 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-109 (of 480 newly added score)
-109 (of 479 newly added score)
-109 (of 478 newly added score)
-109 (of 477 newly added score)
-109 (of 476 newly added score)
-28(of 475 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 475 newly added score)
-344(of 474 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 474 newly added score)
-344(of 473 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 473 newly added score)
-344(of 472 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 472 newly added score)
-344(of 471 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 471 newly added score)
-189(of 470 left after 30th Oct draw)
-109 (of 470 newly added score)
-189(of 469 left after 30th Oct draw)
-68(of 109 of 469 newly added score).
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Good luck mate!Yeah, big congratulations mate. Hope to get mine in the next draw or so