Ray of Hope - 119th Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
Sir.. I lose 5 this year end.. n m in 430s.. believe me.. Everything is gonna be fine
itas will increase definitely. And with that crs will come down...if with 3350 it can come to 450...then with 3900 it definitely be going below 450. Lets keep everyone in our prayers. Life is meant to be hard but WE will do it!
Hey Guys,
What's wrong with CIC?
The target in 2017 was 71400, but ITAs issued were = 86023
The target in 2018 was 74900, but ITAs issued were = 89800
The target was increased by 3500 in 2018, and, therefore, 3777 extra ITAs were issued as compared to 2017.
The target in 2019 is 81400, and therefore expected ITAs should be around = 89800 + 6500 (81400-74900) = 96300
Till now, in 2019, ITA issued = 34600, and expected remaiming ITAs for 2019 = 61700.
2018: the number of draws = 25. Note: although a year has 26 fortnights, by making two 3-week draws CIC could reduce the draw numbers to 25.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2018 and issued 31000 ITAs.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2019 and issued 34600 ITAs.
Thus, by analogy, 15 draws are left for 2019, and this should result in around 4113 ITAs per draw if ITAs are uniformly distributed.
Some may argue that CIC has already sent extra 3600 ITAs in 2019, and I agree with this. But, the target is increased by 6500 so CIC should ideally send 2900 more ITAs as compared to 2018 in the remaining draws. For this, CIC should increase 200, 2900 divided by15 (remaining draws vide supra) ITAs in each draw as compared to 2018. So now draw size should be around 3950 for next 7 draws and 4100 for the remaining 8 draws.
For 2018, the target was increased by 3500 and CIC conducted 8 draws with 3900 ITAs, (8*400). For 2019, ??????????
I am unable to understand what's there in CIC's mind. Is CIC going to increase the draw size beyond 3900? Is it planning to send ITAs uniformly throughout the remaining year? And many more.....????????????
Suraj
What's wrong with CIC?
The target in 2017 was 71400, but ITAs issued were = 86023
The target in 2018 was 74900, but ITAs issued were = 89800
The target was increased by 3500 in 2018, and, therefore, 3777 extra ITAs were issued as compared to 2017.
The target in 2019 is 81400, and therefore expected ITAs should be around = 89800 + 6500 (81400-74900) = 96300
Till now, in 2019, ITA issued = 34600, and expected remaiming ITAs for 2019 = 61700.
2018: the number of draws = 25. Note: although a year has 26 fortnights, by making two 3-week draws CIC could reduce the draw numbers to 25.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2018 and issued 31000 ITAs.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2019 and issued 34600 ITAs.
Thus, by analogy, 15 draws are left for 2019, and this should result in around 4113 ITAs per draw if ITAs are uniformly distributed.
Some may argue that CIC has already sent extra 3600 ITAs in 2019, and I agree with this. But, the target is increased by 6500 so CIC should ideally send 2900 more ITAs as compared to 2018 in the remaining draws. For this, CIC should increase 200, 2900 divided by15 (remaining draws vide supra) ITAs in each draw as compared to 2018. So now draw size should be around 3950 for next 7 draws and 4100 for the remaining 8 draws.
For 2018, the target was increased by 3500 and CIC conducted 8 draws with 3900 ITAs, (8*400). For 2019, ??????????
I am unable to understand what's there in CIC's mind. Is CIC going to increase the draw size beyond 3900? Is it planning to send ITAs uniformly throughout the remaining year? And many more.....????????????
Suraj
Its election year and people are already asking questions about too much of immigrants so government is proceeding cautiously to make sure opposition doesn’t get one more issue as already they have many against liberals.QUOTE="skg1988, post: 7908509, member: 842508"]Hey Guys,
What's wrong with CIC?
The target in 2017 was 71400, but ITAs issued were = 86023
The target in 2018 was 74900, but ITAs issued were = 89800
The target was increased by 3500 in 2018, and, therefore, 3777 extra ITAs were issued as compared to 2017.
The target in 2019 is 81400, and therefore expected ITAs should be around = 89800 + 6500 (81400-74900) = 96300
Till now, in 2019, ITA issued = 34600, and expected remaiming ITAs for 2019 = 61700.
2018: the number of draws = 25. Note: although a year has 26 fortnights, by making two 3-week draws CIC could reduce the draw numbers to 25.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2018 and issued 31000 ITAs.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2019 and issued 34600 ITAs.
Thus, by analogy, 15 draws are left for 2019, and this should result in around 4113 ITAs per draw if ITAs are uniformly distributed.
Some may argue that CIC has already sent extra 3600 ITAs in 2019, and I agree with this. But, the target is increased by 6500 so CIC should ideally send 2900 more ITAs as compared to 2018 in the remaining draws. For this, CIC should increase 200, 2900 divided by15 (remaining draws vide supra) ITAs in each draw as compared to 2018. So now draw size should be around 3950 for next 7 draws and 4100 for the remaining 8 draws.
For 2018, the target was increased by 3500 and CIC conducted 8 draws with 3900 ITAs, (8*400). For 2019, ??????????
I am unable to understand what's there in CIC's mind. Is CIC going to increase the draw size beyond 3900? Is it planning to send ITAs uniformly throughout the remaining year? And many more.....????????????
Suraj[/QUOTE]
What's wrong with CIC?
The target in 2017 was 71400, but ITAs issued were = 86023
The target in 2018 was 74900, but ITAs issued were = 89800
The target was increased by 3500 in 2018, and, therefore, 3777 extra ITAs were issued as compared to 2017.
The target in 2019 is 81400, and therefore expected ITAs should be around = 89800 + 6500 (81400-74900) = 96300
Till now, in 2019, ITA issued = 34600, and expected remaiming ITAs for 2019 = 61700.
2018: the number of draws = 25. Note: although a year has 26 fortnights, by making two 3-week draws CIC could reduce the draw numbers to 25.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2018 and issued 31000 ITAs.
By May-end CIC conducted 10 draws in 2019 and issued 34600 ITAs.
Thus, by analogy, 15 draws are left for 2019, and this should result in around 4113 ITAs per draw if ITAs are uniformly distributed.
Some may argue that CIC has already sent extra 3600 ITAs in 2019, and I agree with this. But, the target is increased by 6500 so CIC should ideally send 2900 more ITAs as compared to 2018 in the remaining draws. For this, CIC should increase 200, 2900 divided by15 (remaining draws vide supra) ITAs in each draw as compared to 2018. So now draw size should be around 3950 for next 7 draws and 4100 for the remaining 8 draws.
For 2018, the target was increased by 3500 and CIC conducted 8 draws with 3900 ITAs, (8*400). For 2019, ??????????
I am unable to understand what's there in CIC's mind. Is CIC going to increase the draw size beyond 3900? Is it planning to send ITAs uniformly throughout the remaining year? And many more.....????????????
Suraj[/QUOTE]
You are thinking too much ahead. Just relax as you can cross the bridge when you reach there not when u r still in your room,
CIC is becoming extremely uncertain this days and very unwelcoming in nature unlike last year.Last year seemed to be very stable in terms of draw sizes and score. But, may be they want to stick to fortnightly draws going forward with increase number of ITAs which could also be a reason they didn't held a draw yesterday..I hope the future draws to be just steady, if not b2b, to avoid consequences of the ghastly Jan 30th draw had since then.
Guys, Finally submitted my OINP application today. Wait begins now!
From the point of view of elections, it's in the interest of the ruling government to increase PNPs and decrease direct ITAs. It is so because PNPs are more tailored to the needs of the province.
Every government plays vote bank politics. Look at Modi. Liberals are no different.
So fast. 30-60 days of wait has just started. Good luck!
Avmaia
Full Member
- May 18, 2019
- 26
- 13
- Category........
- FSW
- NOC Code......
- 2147
- App. Filed.......
- 06/03/2019
From my little understanding, the target is for immigration, ITAs are just invitations. They probably issued more ITAs because some were declined/ineligible/fake or whatever.
So as long as every ITA is accepted and ok, they will probably not go over the target.
Since we don't know statistics for the amount currently accepted, we can only speculate that if they are not issuing more ITAs is because they are on target.
I personally don't think it is about being welcoming or friendly or whatever, they are just people doing their jobs. If you were in their place and everything looks good, why would you send more/less ITAs? They don't want to go over the target or stay behind it. They will just adjust the draw sizes/frequency based on the current successful ITAs and immigration target.
IMO this time we had 4 weeks without draw was just to compensate the b2b draw we had earlier this year.
Or maybe they are just waiting for elections to increase draw size/frequency, maybe to appeal to currently citizens who were immigrants to vote in favour of the current government when they increase draw size or to send the bulk of post-ITA processing to the next government. I don't know, these are just speculations based on the worst of people I've seen on politics, I highly doubt they are like that.
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