Here is my guess...let me know if you guys agree...
As of May 10th, per the score distribution in CRS website , ~2000 people have their score 451+ .
By May29th the count of 451 + can be somewhere around 3000 at the most.. (addition of 1000 candidates with 451+ score in a span of 20 days)
so for the remaining 350 or 500 or 900 should be for those with score of 450,449
So, the cut off for next week should most likely be 449 or 450
448 is also a possibility...
Lets hope for the best!
How did you get to that 1000 with 451+ in 20 days. Shouldn't it be more than that.
If you look at the May 1st draw, the score was at 450, basically no profiles with 451+ right after the draw. Based on the pool distribution as of May 10, we have 1985 profiles with 451+ score from May 1 to May 10 (9 days).
That's like 220 profiles/day with 451+ score added to the pool.
Now if we have another draw on 29th, that's a gap of 19 days. That 1000 profiles between May 10 to May 29 (19 days) is extremely optimistic.
Edit: The scores of 450+ could be skewed towards low the 450s, which would bring it towards 450 - 455. Else, you would see a cut off between 455 - 460.