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There is going to be another Ray of Hope- 113th Draw very soon!
 
Hi everyone

Just have a comment on predictions. You can never statistically predict the upcoming score. No one knows the following key information to give an indicative prediction:

- Number of people in the pool. This changes drastically from day to day. incoming traffic (people gaining additional score) and outgoing traffic (others losing score)
- Tie breaking rule.
- no of candidates within a certain score.

We are all guessing here, So my guess would be for this draw to be 446 to 450.

Best of luck to everyone

The pool data is published bi-weekly, so we can calculate the average daily intake to each CRS range using that. Over a period of time you would have enough data to make a prediction of the pool composition based on that. Using the predicted pool data and assuming the draw date and Number of ITAs being issued you can come up with the predicted cut off. Obviously predictions are not accurate but it is the best possible estimate based on what data we have available at our disposal.

Tie breaking rule does not determine the cut off. The profile creation date/time of the last ranked applicant (who got invited) is the the tie breaking date/time.
 
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I do not want to sound as a pessimist and I really hope that I am wrong.

But I somehow cannot ignore the following bottle necks.
Heavy ITA back log
&
ECA back log release.

Taking the above into account, my 'kaali zaban' says that it will be between 457 - 460 this time around.

I so wish I am wrong.
 
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Like I previously replied:

Btw, there is a "Date modified:" tag at the bottom of the page (https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html)

It gets updated every Wednesday regardless of the draw has happened or not. Therefore to be 100% certain there is no draw today, just check if the the "Date modified:" has been updated to today.
You are factually wrong my friend. realted to "Date Modified"....I totally disagree with the above statement .Before posting please verify.

Yesterday and Feb 26 th there was a update on EE profile page realted to system maintenance , but still it is displayed as
Date modified: 2018-12-28

Below is the link :https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/application/account.html
 
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