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Ray of Hope - 112th Draw

sinocikid

Full Member
Mar 4, 2019
31
9
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
3111
AOR Received.
28-03-2019
There is going to be another Ray of Hope- 113th Draw very soon!
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Hi everyone

Just have a comment on predictions. You can never statistically predict the upcoming score. No one knows the following key information to give an indicative prediction:

- Number of people in the pool. This changes drastically from day to day. incoming traffic (people gaining additional score) and outgoing traffic (others losing score)
- Tie breaking rule.
- no of candidates within a certain score.

We are all guessing here, So my guess would be for this draw to be 446 to 450.

Best of luck to everyone
The pool data is published bi-weekly, so we can calculate the average daily intake to each CRS range using that. Over a period of time you would have enough data to make a prediction of the pool composition based on that. Using the predicted pool data and assuming the draw date and Number of ITAs being issued you can come up with the predicted cut off. Obviously predictions are not accurate but it is the best possible estimate based on what data we have available at our disposal.

Tie breaking rule does not determine the cut off. The profile creation date/time of the last ranked applicant (who got invited) is the the tie breaking date/time.
 

holufemy

Member
Nov 15, 2018
12
4
Nigeria
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2147
AOR Received.
3/1/2019
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tetex

Newbie
Mar 6, 2019
6
2

GautamKar14

Full Member
Aug 7, 2018
38
7
India
I do not want to sound as a pessimist and I really hope that I am wrong.

But I somehow cannot ignore the following bottle necks.
Heavy ITA back log
&
ECA back log release.

Taking the above into account, my 'kaali zaban' says that it will be between 457 - 460 this time around.

I so wish I am wrong.
 
Last edited:

SeniorStakes

Hero Member
Nov 7, 2018
732
409
Toronto
Nov 30, 2018
235
76
Like I previously replied:

Btw, there is a "Date modified:" tag at the bottom of the page (https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html)

It gets updated every Wednesday regardless of the draw has happened or not. Therefore to be 100% certain there is no draw today, just check if the the "Date modified:" has been updated to today.
You are factually wrong my friend. realted to "Date Modified"....I totally disagree with the above statement .Before posting please verify.

Yesterday and Feb 26 th there was a update on EE profile page realted to system maintenance , but still it is displayed as
Date modified: 2018-12-28

Below is the link :https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/application/account.html
 
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