Ray of hope 108th

[abhishek_89]

You are right Bro..
as per the volume analysis it is true that this time there would be 10000+ profile having 440 + and minimum 4000+ on 450+

so 450+ is very likely and it will remain high this year...

If the draw happens next Wednesday (Jan 16), we would have approx. 5000+ applicants with CRS 450+ and approx. 7000+ applicants with CRS 440+.

So, back to back draws on Jan 16 and Jan 23 would be required to bring back the cut off into the 440s.

 

[srirams91]

I’m on 452. Shouldi start thinking about increasing my scores already or wait for the draws to happen? Super nervous here..

 

[abhishek_89]

I’m on 452. Shouldi start thinking about increasing my scores already or wait for the draws to happen? Super nervous here..

With 450+, you should be safe if the subsequent draws are done with 2 week gaps.

 

[abhishek_89]

If the draw is next Wednesday (Jan 16), 460+ cut off is very much possible! We haven't see a 460+ cut off draw for 2 years now.

A draw tomorrow or Friday would be a big relief and would stop the cut off from skyrocketing.

 

[anuch2588]

Is there any hope for the draw tomorrow ??

 

[aguscoria]

I didn't even imagine that there could be back to back draws in December, I was completely confident that the draw would come out on December 23rd, hence I entered the pool on December 20th with 451...only to find out that same day that the second draw had already passed.

Crossing my fingers for a 445-450 draw.

 

[RBV2909]

I entered the pool on 5-Jan-2019 with a CRS score of 476. Is it safe to expect an ITA in the next draw or will I have to wait a while?

 

[SeniorStakes]

I entered the pool on 5-Jan-2019 with a CRS score of 476. Is it safe to expect an ITA in the next draw or will I have to wait a while?

100 %

The only way you can't get an invite is CIC stopping the Express Entry program overnight.

 

[RBV2909]

100 %

The only way you can't get an invite is CIC stopping the Express Entry program overnight.

Thank you.

 

[apr-2019]

Now we have a two-dimensional suspense, when is the draw, what is the cut-off. TWO problems to solve.

460+ will get ITA even if the gap is 4 weeks in all probability.
450-460 scores will all get cleared anytime there is a 2nd draw Jan, and is bound to happen sooner than later. (most likely to get ITA by end of Jan).

2 draws in Jan (irrespective of when they happen) will bring down the cut-off scores to normalcy Feb onwards i.e. 444 [+/-3] range hopefully.

New year opens up wide range of options for the delay. Maybe it is going to be on Thursdays or Fridays going forward.
Maybe it is taking time to publish year end reports for 2018, settlement fund requirement updates etc before the draw can happen.
Or it is a simple technical glitch causing an additional day delay. Your guess will be as good as anyone else's.

Hopefully a draw will happen sooner with a reasonable cut-off and ease the stress on all of us !
It is important to keep some side distraction in all these testing times, the wait after ITA is not short either

No point taking stress on things not in our control. We did what we need to do, lets wait for CIC to do their thing !

Good luck to all once again.

 

[thaitran26291]

I feel like this draw become more and more interesting.

From 2 weeks, now it surpasses 3 weeks.

 

[abhishek_89]

I feel like this draw become more and more interesting.

From 2 weeks, now it surpasses 3 weeks.

CIC has gone to both extremes in the last 30 days.
-the shortest gap between a draw in the last 12 months
-the longest gap between a draw in the last 18 months

 

[apr-2019]

So true. The last and next draws cut-off scores will be extremes too.

 

[Ambrose4045]

I am keeping my fingers crossed at crs score of 446. Should I wait for another couple of draws or start preparing for tcf or improving my spouse IELTS score. Does 446 have any chance in the future draws ?

 

[apr-2019]

I am keeping my fingers crossed at crs score of 446. Should I wait for another couple of draws or start preparing for tcf or improving my spouse IELTS score. Does 446 have any chance in the future draws ?

This delay thing is a temporary problem. 446 is a good score. Please wait for at least 3 draws in 2019