ingeb said:
Honestly, I don't think there is not much they can do at the moment. My guess.. they have the number of people working in the office that is enough for giving (lets just say) 5000 nominations in 2016. It doesnt make sense to increase this workforce because they cannot give out more nominations this year. There is no use in hiring x more people, nominating everyone in July and then don't have a job in Aug-Dec. They will probably keep working at this pace and announce a new (more selective) instruction in November. They will def not invite everyone above 400 crs cause they have learned that that is just too many people.
For us, the long wait is the enormous response they have gotten. And currently we are being delayed because they are looking at everyone with expiring work permit (they have been nominated in the last weeks). Hopefully, soon they will start nominating the FSW people, starting at the bottom.. there are July people waiting!! Then slowly slowly slowly move forward.. Guess they will start nominating Nov people from Aug or Sept..
They have issued only around 870 nominations from June - December in 2015. So, lets do some math.
The quota for 2015 was 2700 for EE applicants (Human Priorities Capital Stream AND French Speaking Skilled Worker Stream). Assuming they have the same quota for 2016 as well, that makes it
2700 + 2700 = 5400 nominations for EE streams alone in 2015-16.
So, at the end of the year, they had 2700-870 =
1830 nominations left over from 2015 quota. Add that to 2700 of this year's quota <1830 + 2700 = 4530 nominations>.
Total quota that would have been available in January 2016 is 4530 nominations.
Assuming they issued 1500 (very unlikely but let us consider the higher end numbers) nominations this year (from Jan till June), they still have 3030 nomination slots this year or on an average, 505 nominations per month (July - December 2016). Lets assume that 1000 of those will nominations will be issued to French Speaking Skilled Worker Stream applicants.
They still have 3030-1000 = 2020 nomination slots (336 nominations per month) for Human Priorities Capital Stream applicants.
This is only a rough estimate. My point is, they still have large number of vacancies to be filled.
The workforce I was talking about is to handle the exceptionally large number of PTs they sent in January 2016 alone (around 1800 PTs?). Lets assume 500 out of those are incomplete (1800-500 = 1300). Now, they have the responsibility to handle all those 1300 applications, send AORs to them.
I speculate that once they are done sending AORs to December applicants, they might start issuing nominations to November applicants (Might start in July/August). Ideally, they ought to be doing this simultaneously but then, they might not have been able to follow this plan because of resource limitation.
What do you think?
<<Some assumptions were made and the post contains speculation>>
