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Let's Connect for 15th draw

usman_14pk

Champion Member
Jan 29, 2013
1,077
47
Hello,

So last draw cut off at 471. What are your thoughts for the 15th?

As per previous timeline, I guess 15th draw is expected tomorrow (14th August, Friday). Do you think that score will go further down i.e. less than 450?
 

kainthsimranjit

Hero Member
Dec 1, 2014
565
99
Calgary
Category........
Visa Office......
CPC - Missisauga / CPC - Delhi
NOC Code......
2173
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
09-02-2017
AOR Received.
23-02-2017
I don't expect any draw tomorrow.
 

taffarel

Hero Member
Jul 13, 2015
296
20
Category........
NOC Code......
2131
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
kainthsimranjit said:
I don't expect any draw tomorrow.
Most likely next Friday. between 450 and 470 points .. but just a guess
 

ggupta83

Member
Jul 13, 2015
18
1
USA
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
LANDED..........
20-08-2016
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)
 

singh100

Full Member
Mar 12, 2015
44
0
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
ggupta83 said:
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)

If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.
 

tomneversfield

Hero Member
May 8, 2015
564
19
USA
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
AOR Received.
8/10/2015
Med's Done....
7/28/2015
Passport Req..
12/22/2015
usman_14pk said:
Hello,

So last draw cut off at 471. What are your thoughts for the 15th?

As per previous timeline, I guess 15th draw is expected tomorrow (14th August, Friday). Do you think that score will go further down i.e. less than 450?
I'd be very surprised if they draw tomorrow.. if so, the score will probably go down to 450
My money would be on Friday 8/21... if so, the score will probably go down to 460

Good luck to you all!
 

purplesnow

Hero Member
Feb 1, 2015
960
56
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
singh100 said:
If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.
draws since July are going towards the 2016 quota - with a processing time of 6 months, profiles pulled in July go into 2016. No one knows what the 2016 quota is. And the 2015 quota was made up mainly from applications that were backlogged. They anticipated less than 20% of new PR's in 2015 would come through EE. the rest applied in previous years through old streams.
 

Baljas

Hero Member
Jul 20, 2015
367
7
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
19-01-2016
Doc's Request.
22-02-2016 pcc required for both applicant and spouse
AOR Received.
19-01-2016
IELTS Request
25-01-2016
Med's Done....
27-01-2016 (passed) BG check in progress 27-01-2016
Passport Req..
13-07-2016
rafzy said:
Hope it falls below 450 as im sitting at 447 :(
448 this side buddy
 

willpower7

Star Member
May 14, 2015
63
0
Category........
NOC Code......
1223
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
08-08-2015
AOR Received.
08-08-2015
File Transfer...
10th March 2016 (NDVO)
Passport Req..
19th April 2016
Most lilely the nxt draw wud be arnd the end of the month....Hope for the best guys....good luck to all
 

Lammawitch

Champion Member
Dec 21, 2014
2,256
110
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
purplesnow said:
draws since July are going towards the 2016 quota - with a processing time of 6 months, profiles pulled in July go into 2016. No one knows what the 2016 quota is. And the 2015 quota was made up mainly from applications that were backlogged. They anticipated less than 20% of new PR's in 2015 would come through EE. the rest applied in previous years through old streams.
+1.

If I had to take a WILD guess, I'd guess next draw not before 28/8; cut-off score 470+. But that's a *very* wild guess ;)
 

usman_14pk

Champion Member
Jan 29, 2013
1,077
47
ggupta83 said:
Here is what I think:
CIC had 2181 candidate above 450 till 6th July, since then they have issued 4499 ITAs. So the difference of 2318 ITAs was made up by 1. PNPs (They picked up steam around June when quite a bit provinces started EE for PNP which will continue for next few months) 2. New profiles of 450 plus being added 3. Score improvement of existing profiles (added education, experience etc).

I think the biggest driver is the 1. i.e. PNP nomination.

CIC has run out of non PNP candidates who have 450+ scores, however PNPs & to some extent new profiles are still pouring in, so if was CIC I would rather wait then to go below 450.

Concluding I do anticipate any draw soon, at least not this week. As for the scores I do not expect them to go down for at least 2 more months.

Like I mentioned before this what I can decipher but you never know :)
Make sense to some extent because in this way they won't be able to achieve 2015 target. Let's see.
 

usman_14pk

Champion Member
Jan 29, 2013
1,077
47
singh100 said:
If CIC go by this way then its not possible to achieve target immigrate in 2015. Yes, not very soon but CRS will come down.
True, I also think the same. Let's see what we have next. Just hope for the best.