I am not the right guy to educate as i also know very little about their procedure. I wrote based on what i found in this forum as many IP2 folks called CIC and they were told that they passed criminality on the date they moved to IP2 but security check is in progress. please see previous posts of others.
Agreed. saw in many posts that security check also involves official agencies of other countries if required
So, what do you mean by saying 6 month timeline didn't apply to review required applications?%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points
My Observations
- Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate. As we all know not everyone updates the data there. But I think it is okay. In practical world decisions are taken everyday based on a sample of a data set.
- If you feel - “Oh I could list N reasons the data is not the right sample" … well yeah I know that BUT unless someone can give us better data, this is all we have. So let’s make peace with it.
- Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
- I stand corrected on above. On 9th October there were a lot of cases which went inactive and hence were messing up the %age trends. I was not tracking active cases on regular basis as the numbers didn't change much. But to keep consistency I have now used active case number as on 21st Sep (as that is the only week I had captured number of active cases)
- Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
- And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!
Here is my theory what may have caused it .. its pure conjecture so take or don't take it seriously depending on your personal preference.
- Although we didn't see a lot of PPRs on the forum, but June seems to have moved. May be these people are not on this forum ... BUT June is still 10% behind at the same time compared to May. I think this %age could have been high in case all those "approved" cases actually ended up with PPR.
- July and August seem to follow the trend.
- It is clear from the data the actual slow down has happened post April.
I think till March / Beginning April Ottawa was processing most cases for US / Canada and only cases which required additional review were mostly assigned to the other smaller VOs. As the volume of applications increased, these smaller VOs also started getting normal applications to process. But I think no one told them that now they are getting normal applications to process as well. And since the 6 month timeline didn't apply to review required applications these VOs don't realize they are sitting on applications which need to be finished within 6 months. And hence the delay.
With this I hope everyone has a great weekend. And may be a bunch of PPR are on their way and people will receive them over the weekend. In any case let's hope for a better next week!
They exclude those applications from their 80% under six month timeline calculations. There is a possibility a review required application gets PPR in 6 month timeline. But in recent times many such applications are experiencing delays.
IP1 and IP2 mean nothing. So its not a parameter to judge. As I said there is still a possibility of case being processes in six months. There are few cases on Montreal thread which got PPR in six month timeline after review required and there are cases which are waiting beyond six months as well.
Don’t take the six month thingy too seriously. That’s what they are asked to say. There is no way they can predict when the email will be triggered as that’s not in their domain. I think if a VO looks at those applications you should get PPR immediately. We can only hope and pray that it happens soon and may be today itself.
