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seadrag0n

seadrag0n

Champion Member
Mar 6, 2018
2,785
2,491
ElvisRamaj said:
Hey guys, since we are in this never ending waiting "worm hole", any predictions for this week ?

I had a lot free time this weekend, strolling along the seaside and looking at the EE pool, somehow not believing at all that there could be more than 1,500 (freaking max 2000) out of the 8,000, that have both CLB 9 in English and CLB 7 in French. I mean, getting that CLB 9 in IELTS is no easy task and you should know English very well to achieve that kind of score. Now imagine, knowing French aswell. Not impossible, but very very difficult. The only possible ways I can think for someone to have both English and French, is if they have known English for a very long time and later achieved French (like me) or somehow are from a French speaking country and you are good at English. I see no other possible way to have more than 1,500 people who have an excellent English fluency and advanced in French or vice-versa, which leads to me to believe that the absolute majority of the candidates in the 501+ range have either Canadian experience or Canadian Master degree (if they are foreign, fresh graduates cant come close to CRS 500). Let me explain :

Firstly, we all know that the majority of the candidates with CRS 451 - 500 if they are outland, is CLB 9 and 3 years foreign experience. If you don't have them, you most probably are not in that range.

Secondly, fresh graduates from Canadian schools with Bachelor and 1 year experience don't make it in the 501+, even with Masters. The only way for them to make it is to have a brother or sister. I mean all the criterias met and still land in the 504.

So, for an outlander to make the 501 cut, they either have to excel English (CLB 9+), with 3 years experience and get a Master in Canada to be part of the 501 - 510 range, or learn French / job offer. Both are way way harder then they sound, and still it will place tham between 511 - 530 taking into account the age of the candidate.

I know there are exceptions, like dennajort that on July achieved a score 586 together with Canadian experience, which I believe her score was the highest in the last round of draws. If we take her score as the highest, we would 831 candidates that dropped the score 29 points to 557.

Since I am having a hard time believing that more than 1500 candidates have excelled both English and French, and also taking into account different scenarios, I am placing about 6,000 candidates in the score range of 501 - 525. Probably 3,500 in the bracket of 501 - 510.
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Another thing to remember is that there are candidates with job offers which is worth 50 additional points (200 extra points for managerial positions). Because they invited only ~700 in the last draw, these kind of profiles also add up.
 
E

ElvisRamaj

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2021
824
1,861
34
Tirana, AL
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0114
seadrag0n said:
Another thing to remember is that there are candidates with job offers which is worth 50 additional points (200 extra points for managerial positions). Because they invited only ~700 in the last draw, these kind of profiles also add up.
Click to expand...
Yes, but I wouldn't place more than 2,000 above 525 points and most of the new candidates added biweekly, I believe fall in the range of 501 - 525.
 
E

ElvisRamaj

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2021
824
1,861
34
Tirana, AL
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0114
ImpatientDragon said:
Then I guess the draw on Aug 3 is calling your name @ElvisRamaj
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At 1,500 per draw, unfortunately not. Not even in 3 months.

They would clear perhaps 500 - 800 candidates depending on the PNPs. Can't really comprehend why they would stay at the 1,500 level anyway, because taking into account the 6 month rule, all of these applications are meant for 2023, expect a few ones. If the average invited candidate applies within 30 days, they still would be finalized between January and February.
 
aikodad

aikodad

Full Member
Jul 1, 2021
22
60
Cameroon
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
CPC-Ottawa
NOC Code......
1123
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Schedule A, Family infos
AOR Received.
19/09/2022
ElvisRamaj said:
Hey @aikodad if you don't mind me asking, are you 527 points because of French ? If so, are you from a French speaking country ?
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Exactly yes I’m from Cameroon. We are bilingual here so we can switch from English to French without even noticing
 
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