In the light of new mandate letters where it is mentioned "expected" processing time can be 6 months and no draws till june do you guys think it is realistic to expect pr in 2022 end atleast for post march applicants.
Well, few things. First the 80th percentile time for FSW will be 20-36 months meaning those whose FSW application are underway (obviously, no new one can be submitted right now), will have 80% applications processed in TOTAL (including wait time since they applied way back) 20-36 months.
Going foreward, they want to minimize the above metric everywhere. They CAN land about 18K economic class PR applicants each month -- they have shown it last year. Also, most of the FSW applications do not require any more processing -- just god damn re-med and PPR. So I think 18K should not be a hard target to meet. This should give us about 4-5 months to cover ALL of remaining FSW and CEC applications. 5 * 18 = 90K people landed. Enough to process ALL of the FHS inventory remaining.
The fly in this ointment is the god damned TR 2 PR and HEC class applicants. They need to process them too. They need some quota to land those too. From the statements given till now, it seems Fraser wants to land ALL of this backlogged people at the cost of increasing some landing quota this year. But he is a m*$#%#f#%%$#$^# poli-chicken. If True Dough get the feeling that his shaft is not long enough and he needs to compensate that by getting into one more refugee crisis or one more election, then all bets are off. They will have to play a total populist game and that can mean shafting FHS candidates for puppies or kittens or HECs or Ukranian hotties or whatever has maple syrup on it.