serenity_eee said:
+1 Thanks mate for your incredible help.
I am trying to understand the spreadsheet. For 2133 it says "Estimated total worldwide of apps filed to CIC for this NOC by now is 453" and says "Estimated date by which you should file your application to be in the cap.... is 3/5/2015" So do I have so much time to apply? Does 'now' mean today 07/30/2014?
In contrast to "Estimated total worldwide of apps for this NOC received per work day, which will be charged.... is 3.85%" this 3.85% calculation dont match if I calculate with the other figure of the other columns. Can you shed some light on it?
Hi Serenity,
those words were written by me, so I can answer your questions.
Yes, you have so much time to apply, according to the estimate. Keep in mind that it's still an estimate, there are also different opinions on the estimates, and it's difficult to predict for sure.
Also, it's not really clear yet if FSW 2014 will end on April 30, 2015 (as the ministerial instructions tell) or on December 31, 2014 (as the news about Expression of Interest program might suggest).
Yes, "now" means today. The sheet is updated each 4 hours with the latest information.
The J column ("Estimated total worldwide # of apps for this NOC received per work day, which will be charged...") is calculated as I*F/E. - also note it's not in percents, it's an absolute value.
F and E columns contain constants which are mostly calculated based on FSW 2013 data, where we know for sure when caps got full and how many applications got into each cap.
I is calculated as number of applications for this NOC received in the last 37 work days, divided by 37 (i.e. it's application reception speed for this NOC).
37 was chosen arbitrarily, as a value sufficiently large to get rid of noise, and sufficiently small to ensure the initial spike of applications in May does not affect the estimates.
I hope this answers your questions.