steve_liv said:
But when I applied the 2173 was at 353. Can you please explain on what basis you are making the assumption.
The date you applied doesn't count, because CIC takes on average 80-90 days to do Completeness Check after the date of arrival - that's when they add your application to the CAP count.
So the CAP you are seeing today reflects mid to end August, maybe September.
When your application arrived, mid-September, the numbers were showing the status from June.
Nobody knows for sure, but there is a good chance you won't make the CAP.
Can you send another application for NOC 2172? If you can't, get ready for Express Entry.