Cap update seems promising -> 7 days of processing (Working day) - 442 total PERs & It covers a lot more days than earlier updates:
On 9/30 last CAP update, PERs were received for Jun 4 applicants (base date)
On 10/09 (today), June 10/11 applicants are receiving PERs
For S/W professionals:
2171 -- 348 (increment of 37 for 5 working days -> 4th June to 10th June )
2173 -- 425 (increment of 33 for 5 working days -> 4th June to 10th June )
2174 -- 817 (increment of 39 for 5 working days -> 4th June to 10th June )
Rough estimates (considering steady flow of applications - I know there must be highs and lows but for estimation purpose I'm considering steady flow)
2171 should be alive till
Oct 11
2173 should be alive till
Oct 09
2174 should be alive till
July 14
Disclaimer : These are just rough estimates purely based on CAP updates between last week and this week. As other folks suggested, number of applications may drop in month of Jun to Mid July and then there may be a bit of surge in Mid July to Mid Aug/End of Aug so for calculation purpose I considered steady flow. Please refer Global spreadsheet for better estimates as there are numerous calculations done for estimation.
Provided disclaimer because I don't want to be victim of your wrath if you are angry with my estimations, you can definitely comment if you like it.
PS: I applied very late so I'm doing this calculation to pacify my anxious soul!!!
No-one really knows how long those 50 NOCs will last but there's nothing to loose even if you apply late!!!