jigzyy said:
Thank you Wayne for helping us out.
BTW according to your old figures, NOC 2174 has already overflowing as of today :-\ I hope x40 calculation is not going to apply this time as ECA is involved [as for now, like first couple weeks]. What do you think ?
The x40 calculation (i.e. our forum populus represented around 2.5% of the total worldwide applications) was about right at the time.
But nobody really has any idea for certain how many applicants this thread / spreadsheet represents compared to the worldwide total.
But just to put things into perspective, even if this thread represents TWICE as many applicants % wise as our 2010 spreadsheet did, this would make it around 5% of applications. Meaning the totals for each NOC should be multiple by 20 in order to get a global figure.
This would make 600 applications for 2174 out of 300 spots available!
The figures when CIC start publishing them will be artificially a bit behind. The reason being that their figures will only represent applications which have been opened and have successfully passed the completeness check. There could be many more which are still unopened. So if, for example, the first set of figures say that they have 210 applications received for NOC 2174, the actual true total could easily be double that.
Well we'll have to see, all any of us can really do at this stage is guess.
However, my personal guess is that any application for NOCs 2174, 2147 and 1112 (especially NOC 2174) not received in the first 2 weeks of this (i.e. this week and next week) may ultimately find they haven't got within the cap.
Wayne.
