Reminder: There are two, separate issues:
-- when will Bill C-6 itself be adopted and become law
-- when will the 3/4 rule as provided in Bill C-6 be implemented
It is true that any prediction about when either of these will actually happen is largely speculation.
What is known, however, is that the 3/4 rule will
NOT be implemented until
after Bill C-6 is fully adopted and becomes law, and that is likely to be at least several months
after, perhaps many months or even nearly a year or so. Thus, best case scenario (soonest case scenario anyway), the 3/4 rule is not likely to be implemented before spring, with a significant chance it will take quite a bit longer than that.
Nonetheless, the odds are probably still good that Bill C-6 could be passed by the Senate and adopted into law
this year. Might not happen, but it is typical for the Senate and Parliament to accelerate the rate at which legislation is passed as a break approaches.
Main outstanding issue is whether the Senate forces amendments. If so, those could still be resolved this year or the Bill could be pushed into next year.
In the meantime, my sense is that some MPs may indeed have some good insider information about what is happening and the prospective timeline, but whether they will share that information is another story. In contrast, however, reports in forums like this one that are supposedly based on what a MP purportedly said, are notoriously unreliable, not because the MP is unreliable but because the sources claiming what a MP said tend to be, well, similar to the source of the last such report in this topic.
ahahahahatoronto said:
THE LAW WILL BE IN EFFECT IN 2018 MID HEARD FROM A MP
The source of this post appears to be unreliable.
See, for example:
ahahahahatoronto said:
[for the objectionable, offensive content in this linked post, see original post]