Sticking to the facts, while it may be true that the Senate almost always adopts the HoC amendments of Senate amendments, it is also the fact that the vast majority of Bills are approved by the Senate without amendment. The latter is NOT how it went for Bill C-6. Historical trends offer little or NO assurance that this is going to go smoothly in the Senate, that this legislation will be adopted in its current form.
One could forecast that is the more likely outcome, to wander beyond the parameters of what is fact.
But that is speculation, especially considering there is little historical precedent for a Senate with the make-up of the current Senate.
To stick to the facts, this legislation is NOT yet law and there is still no guarantee it will become law. There is still some vociferous opposition to this Bill, much of which appears to be as rooted in trying to make the Liberals fail as it is about differences in opinions on the merits.
I will not attempt to guess how things will go in the Senate.
What I wonder, however, is whether the filibuster-style speech (more than two and a half hours of rambling diatribe very little of which was about Bill C-6 or citizenship) last night by Conservative MP Michelle Rempel was an isolated one-off last-ditch effort to further stall and distract and divert, a disingenuous speech rife with hypocrisy and more than a few outright deceptions (citing the Audit report about how long it took the government, seven years as I recall, to identify fraud related to a single residential address used by some 50 applicants as if to illustrate the Liberal government was failing to address fraud, even though that happened during the nine years when Harper was PM, just as one example). Or will there be Conservative Senators who pick up and continue to carry the obstructionist torch . . . and if so, how long how far?
Bottom-line, fact is this is NOT a done deal. Nonetheless, we should see, relatively soon, how this is going to go. To be clear, probabilities are a kind of fact. At this stage, however, the odds do not mean much. What happens in the Senate in the next week or perhaps a little more will tell the tale.
If before the summer break the Senate does accept the HoC changes, then Bill C-6 will be fully adopted and will promptly receive Royal Assent. If this does not happen, bets are off. In other words, while not scratched in stone, the odds are that either Bill C-6 will be law this month or its future will be rather up in the air.