Analysis of Express Entry Statistics

[picklee]

There was an ielts result on April 21 that might have had its impact.

It would be interesting to see if there is an historical association between exam/score dates and changes in EE pool scores. Might IRCC time the draws around these dates to ensure the highest quality applicants?

 

[monavy]

It would be interesting to see if there is an historical association between exam/score dates and changes in EE pool scores. Might IRCC time the draws around these dates to ensure the highest quality applicants?

an ielts result was on March 18 or 19.
the next draw on March 24 had 10 points increase.

but more back testing needs to be done to arrive at any co-relation though.

 

[picklee]

Here are the latest numbers on EE pool, as of May 12 2017:

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 12, 2017
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 229
451-600 704
401-450 7,019
441-450 229
431-440 245
421-430 303
411-420 2,248
401-410 3,994
351-400 22,066
391-400 3,581
381-390 4,331
371-380 4,524
361-370 4,768
351-360 4,862
301-350 15,653
0-300 2,821
Total 48,492

Looks like we are staying in the 410s for the foreseeable future.

 

[thisworks]

Here are the latest numbers on EE pool, as of May 12 2017:
Looks like we are staying in the 410s for the foreseeable future.

Folks, especially @picklee I wanted to confirm:
1) Express entry stats on a weekly basis have only been available since Draw #58 on April 5?
2) Does anyone have the score distribution data in an Excel sheet ?

 

[picklee]

Folks, especially @picklee I wanted to confirm:
1) Express entry stats on a weekly basis have only been available since Draw #58 on April 5?
2) Does anyone have the score distribution data in an Excel sheet ?

1) that's correct.
2) I haven't compiled the data into a spreadsheet, but I thought copying it to this thread would be a good way to archive it for someone who would want to. It would be a good idea to put it into a read-only google doc so that it can be easily transferred and shared.

 

[thisworks]

1) that's correct.
2) I haven't compiled the data into a spreadsheet, but I thought copying it to this thread would be a good way to archive it for someone who would want to. It would be a good idea to put it into a read-only google doc so that it can be easily transferred and shared.

Thanks, I can take the lead on this. If I am correct we have 6 data points now since draw 58:

Data Date
29-Mar
7-Apr
13-Apr
28-Apr
12-May
19-May

If I'm missing something please let me know

 

[robb83]

I actually re-did my IELTS and got full marks , however I didn't need it in the end.

I've still been following the draws and surprised they did a pnp one on Friday.

As of May 19th below

410 upwards should start getting all their documents ready and also getting your medical done now.



CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 50
451-600 136
401-450 5,884
441-450 51
431-440 59
421-430 51
411-420 1,697
401-410 4,026

 

[thisworks]

not many profiles added between 400-450 band.. looks good.. Next Draw will be 406

CRS Data

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CNPZqJo7ZoRYiwAeNnrVT68FEVg0MYAOmPoFfx3KXVk/edit?usp=sharing

gotodxb beat me to it! I already wasted 2 hours doing this data!

 

[picklee]

gotodxb beat me to it! I already wasted 2 hours doing this data!

Awesome, thanks for sharing. These things tend to get buried in threads that aren't easily queried.

 

[picklee]

Below are the pool statistics as of May 26, 2017:

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of May 26, 2017
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 143
451-600 656
401-450 6,717
441-450 226
431-440 295
421-430 206
411-420 1,878
401-410 4,112
351-400 22,313
391-400 3,641
381-390 4,436
371-380 4,532
361-370 4,859
351-360 4,845
301-350 15,732
0-300 2,866
Total 48,427

A net gain of profiles above 410 this week. Still many to go before we see bottom of 400s.

 

[thisworks]

@picklee If they keep on issuing ITAs like what they did this month, I am certain that CRS will drop to 400s and even below. Personally spealing I was very surprised when they conducted a draw today. I mean I am happy because i received an ITA, but I am also surprised.

 

[picklee]

@picklee If they keep on issuing ITAs like what they did this month, I am certain that CRS will drop to 400s and even below. Personally spealing I was very surprised when they conducted a draw today. I mean I am happy because i received an ITA, but I am also surprised.

Are we going for a month with no draw? Probably they are busy with the new applications over the last 5 months.

 

[abasoufiane]

Are we going for a month with no draw? Probably they are busy with the new applications over the last 5 months.

They have warned that the next draw might take up to a month because of changes made after the 6th june, hopefully they will catch up with consecutive draws.

 

[thisworks]

They have warned that the next draw might take up to a month because of changes made after the 6th june, hopefully they will catch up with consecutive draws.

The cutoff would be at least 430 this time around.

 

[picklee]

The latest EE pool composition as of June 22, 2017:

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of June 22, 2017
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 355
451-600 2,216
401-450 9,463
441-450 809
431-440 1,082
421-430 1,172
411-420 1,968
401-410 4,432
351-400 22,868
391-400 3,886
381-390 4,671
371-380 4,697
361-370 4,852
351-360 4,762
301-350 15,062
0-300 2,510
Total 52,474